NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	107		Excitement	7.3 [397]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +23.1%
Dallas Mavericks	102		Comeback	1.2 [502]		LVP	Antonio Daniels (SEA): -11.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.23	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.2,0.23	-0.02	0.24	-0.02	21	52%	0.32	3	-0.09	6	83%	0.03
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.11	-0.01	11	75%	0.25	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Jerome James	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.01	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Luke Ridnour	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Ray Allen	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	19	54%	0.02	4	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Reggie Evans	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	4	39%	-0.07	1	-0.02	10	50%	-0.04
Antonio Daniels	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	11	41%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	17	61%	0.09	2	-0.04	10	90%	0.04
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	64%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.01,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	11	59%	0.12	3	-0.10	10	90%	0.09
Calvin Booth	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	62%	0.08	4	-0.14	2	100%	0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.09	0.02	17	51%	-0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	54%	-0.01	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	1.7	27.4	16.4	28.6	2.4	38.5	141.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +49.5%

DAL -32.5%

SEA +21.3%

SEA +10.2%

SEA +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	DAL	NBA	SEA	DAL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	15.5	112.6	107.4	104.0
season	16.5	14.9		109.5	108.2
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.4	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.1	15.0	15.4	15.7	15.5
DAL	13.9	17.0	14.6	13.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	80	80	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.37	9	-4	13	15.3	17.0	-1.72	14.5	16.0	-1.46
Luke Ridnour	60	60	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-5	15	15.2	16.1	-0.81	15.5	13.5	2.08
Jerome James	31	32	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.20	10	-5	15	15.5	15.6	-0.09	16.6	13.8	2.80
Rashard Lewis	77	77	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.31	5	0	5	15.7	14.8	0.88	14.6	15.6	-1.04
Vladimir Radmanovic	72	71	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.37	0	5	-5	15.7	15.2	0.49	14.4	15.9	-1.54
Antonio Daniels	57	57	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.27	-2	7	-9	15.5	15.6	-0.05	14.2	15.7	-1.48
Reggie Evans	36	36	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.03	3	2	1	15.4	15.7	-0.30	15.1	14.5	0.60
Nick Collison	32	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	9	-13	16.3	15.1	1.20	14.4	15.0	-0.59
Danny Fortson	30	32	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.09	-6	11	-17	15.6	15.5	0.13	14.4	15.0	-0.55

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calvin Booth	5	5	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-9	13	8.6	15.1	-6.51	19.4	15.3	4.07
Darrell Armstrong	40	39	-0.10	-0.41	0.31	-0.10	0	-5	5	13.9	15.4	-1.54	15.2	15.8	-0.62
Michael Finley	70	73	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.48	12	-17	29	14.0	17.0	-3.03	16.3	13.0	3.26
Marquis Daniels	44	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.27	2	-7	9	13.3	16.0	-2.74	16.5	14.7	1.76
Alan Henderson	30	27	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	8	-21	17.7	13.4	4.28	14.4	16.0	-1.54
Josh Howard	63	62	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-4	3	14.3	15.6	-1.24	15.0	16.7	-1.72
Jerry Stackhouse	57	56	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.30	-1	-4	3	14.4	15.3	-0.87	15.6	15.5	0.02
Jason Terry	34	32	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	9	-23	17.2	13.4	3.84	14.8	15.9	-1.11
Erick Dampier	56	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	5	-15	15.6	13.5	2.09	15.1	16.3	-1.26
Dirk Nowitzki	76	75	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.29	-4	-1	-3	14.9	14.1	0.89	15.8	14.7	1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.16,0.25,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.13,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.53,0.29,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.04,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 82, MIA 76	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.34,0.28,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.1,0.01,0	94.5%
IND 93, WAS 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.25,0.19,0.3,0.21,0.33,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.11,0.02,0,0,0	93.3%
LAC 99, DAL 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.24,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.22,0.28,0.42,0.3,0.34,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.41,0.28,0.15,0.21,0.06,0,0	93.1%