inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 86 Excitement9.2 [123] MVPDonyell Marshall (TOR): +38.8%
Detroit Pistons 90 Comeback6.6 [274] LVPChris Bosh (TOR): -39.7%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Donyell Marshall0.390,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.390.200.190.001385%0.3900.0000%0.00
Rafael Araujo0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Lamond Murray0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.020.00560%0.0100.0000%0.00
Milt Palacio-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.010.00743%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.00250%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Vince Carter-0.030,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.03828%-0.0300.00250%-0.01
Morris Peterson-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.05-0.00518%-0.101-0.0210%-0.02
Loren Woods-0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.11-0.030.00922%-0.102-0.0400%0.00
Jalen Rose-0.180,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.09-0.090.001642%-0.122-0.066100%0.06
Rafer Alston-0.270,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27-0.10-0.170.001739%-0.222-0.05450%-0.03
Chris Bosh-0.400,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.23,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.4-0.12-0.29-0.011027%-0.222-0.182100%0.01

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.12,0.1,0.070.07-0.010.07-0.011359%0.143-0.07683%0.04
Carlos Delfino0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.00-0.00575%0.0600.002100%0.01
Elden Campbell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.05-0.00750%-0.041-0.022100%0.01
Darko Milicic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.04-0.040.00233%-0.041-0.052100%0.01
Ben Wallace0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.06-0.08-0.011150%-0.092-0.04862%-0.03
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.28-0.28-0.15-0.14-0.011334%-0.222-0.06989%0.04
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.06-0.25-0.021450%-0.253-0.03450%-0.09
Tayshaun Prince0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.24,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29-0.29-0.07-0.23-0.011431%-0.2900.001100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.82.526.316.330.22.531.91.814.2150.5
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.41.917.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR -38.6%
DET +17.9%
DET +48.8%
DET +13.5%
DET +8.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORDETNBATORDETNBA
this game15.417.515.589.692.8104.0
season15.116.7104.8103.5
opponent15.915.498.9106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
TOR13.815.715.315.619.615.4
DET17.017.016.720.415.917.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Morris Peterson30290.13-0.630.77-0.015-91413.816.2-2.3218.117.30.79
Rafael Araujo14140.08-0.580.660.022-6812.116.0-3.8417.717.50.23
Vince Carter35340.04-0.540.580.011-5614.416.0-1.6216.518.1-1.56
Milt Palacio4039-0.02-0.480.45-0.175-91416.914.42.5720.115.84.24
Lamond Murray4144-0.10-0.410.31-0.07-1-3215.315.5-0.1917.317.7-0.44
Donyell Marshall6666-0.14-0.360.23-0.4611-152614.517.5-3.0618.016.51.47
Matt Bonner1414-0.24-0.260.01-0.01-84-1216.315.31.0115.817.8-2.02
Loren Woods4343-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.09-95-1416.015.01.0415.619.1-3.47
Chris Bosh6062-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.23-62-816.114.21.9318.515.72.77
Rafer Alston6972-0.680.18-0.85-0.41-95-1415.515.10.3917.218.6-1.41
Jalen Rose6868-0.810.31-1.12-0.49-117-1816.213.62.5217.018.6-1.58

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasheed Wallace62630.50-0.000.500.4131217.317.9-0.6215.415.5-0.18
Chauncey Billups68680.380.120.250.2931217.417.7-0.2515.215.9-0.66
Ben Wallace87840.360.140.210.2731218.310.67.7115.713.42.30
Richard Hamilton70680.350.150.210.38-15-617.617.30.3615.515.20.25
Carlos Delfino39400.330.170.150.098-41217.317.7-0.3914.815.9-1.08
Tayshaun Prince85850.280.220.060.2513-217.517.30.2115.514.60.89
Elden Campbell28270.170.33-0.150.1513-216.517.9-1.4814.415.8-1.42
Lindsey Hunter29280.120.38-0.250.0913-217.717.40.2515.915.20.66
Darko Milicic17170.010.49-0.49-0.0213-216.017.8-1.8416.515.21.34


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.81,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.54,0.45,0.28,0.24,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.91,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 106, SAC 1140.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.51,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.39,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.47,0.63,0.32,0.41,0.46,0.45,0.79,0.99,1,189.5%
HOU 99, MIN 1030.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.82,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.86,0.76,0.6,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.73,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.92,188.6%
UTA 108, MIL 1090.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.88,0.81,0.91,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.88,0.83,0.76,0.61,0.69,0.54,0.23,0.42,0.54,0.39,0.46,0.45,0.42,188.1%