NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	8.4 [209]		MVP	Steven Smith (CHA): +42.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	107		Comeback	2.5 [739]		LVP	Stephon Marbury (NYK): -21.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.24	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.24	0.23	-0.01	-0.02	25	76%	0.34	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jamison Brewer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	56%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.07
Trevor Ariza	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jerome Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	47%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Nazr Mohammed	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	0.00	-0.09	0.03	9	71%	0.04	4	-0.16	3	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.09	0.00	9	32%	-0.15	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.21	-0.12	-0.10	-0.00	12	38%	-0.11	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.33,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.12	0.30	-0.00	12	77%	0.46	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.03	9	53%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	8	55%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	8	54%	0.04	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	13	54%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	13	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tamar Slay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	8	41%	-0.10	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	20	43%	-0.14	1	-0.03	7	57%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.7	27.1	14.7	25.2	1.6	41.2	137.2
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +8.1%

CHA +5.0%

NYK -9.1%

CHA +45.3%

CHA +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHA	NBA	NYK	CHA	NBA
this game	13.8	16.2	15.5	104.1	112.6	104.0
season	15.8	15.5		103.9	99.0
opponent	15.1	15.3		105.4	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.6	12.1	14.9	13.8	13.8
CHA	17.5	16.7	13.9	17.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	47	43	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-9	12	12.6	14.9	-2.28	18.3	14.4	3.91
Kurt Thomas	55	57	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-7	8	14.0	13.5	0.51	14.5	18.8	-4.34
Trevor Ariza	38	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-1	-4	14.1	13.6	0.52	18.1	15.0	3.02
Jamison Brewer	21	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	-2	-2	15.6	13.3	2.24	20.1	15.2	4.93
Stephon Marbury	79	78	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-7	8	13.7	14.3	-0.64	15.2	21.1	-5.90
Michael Sweetney	39	37	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	-1	-4	14.0	13.7	0.35	19.8	13.9	5.85
Jamal Crawford	91	88	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.37	-4	-2	-2	13.5	19.2	-5.71	16.5	12.6	3.93
Tim Thomas	61	62	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	0	-6	13.8	13.8	0.01	14.8	18.9	-4.13
Nazr Mohammed	54	53	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.28	-11	5	-16	14.3	13.2	1.13	13.8	19.2	-5.34

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Smith	45	46	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-5	16	18.5	14.2	4.33	12.9	14.7	-1.80
Jason Hart	73	73	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.29	9	-3	12	15.4	19.0	-3.57	13.8	13.9	-0.14
Brevin Knight	83	86	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.28	4	2	2	15.5	21.3	-5.86	14.0	12.6	1.33
Emeka Okafor	75	76	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.35	1	5	-4	15.8	17.6	-1.76	13.9	13.7	0.19
Melvin Ely	39	39	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.26	4	2	2	18.3	14.7	3.60	14.7	13.2	1.43
Primoz Brezec	76	79	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.08	5	1	4	15.5	19.1	-3.62	13.4	15.8	-2.48
Keith Bogans	39	41	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	4	-2	17.1	15.6	1.51	13.0	14.4	-1.37
Tamar Slay	8	8	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	10	-14	19.5	15.9	3.59	12.4	13.9	-1.57
Jason Kapono	37	37	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	-0.08	-2	8	-10	15.1	16.9	-1.85	15.9	12.5	3.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.52,0.63,0.41,0.54,0.4,0.55,0.72,0.77,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 83, GSW 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.98,1	92.4%
MIL 94, GSW 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.5,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.47,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.87,0.96,1	92.4%
DET 86, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.32,0.24,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.53,0.4,0.33,0.64,0.91,0.98,1	91.9%