NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	106		Excitement	10.2 [63]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +29.9%
Dallas Mavericks	113		Comeback	2.2 [715]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (HOU): -34.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reece Gaines	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Barrett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.34,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02	0.17	-0.16	0.03	36	61%	0.05	2	-0.07	7	57%	-0.10
Juwan Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	9	35%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.03
Yao Ming	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	0.00	15	35%	-0.14	2	-0.04	7	71%	0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.27,-0.27,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.06	-0.16	0.04	18	47%	-0.08	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.11	-0.24	0.00	6	21%	-0.25	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.13	0.18	0.01	32	62%	0.33	1	-0.03	22	95%	0.20
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	70%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Howard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	8	35%	-0.03	2	-0.05	1	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	0.03	-0.13	0.02	9	78%	0.06	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.13	-0.16	-0.03	12	38%	-0.21	2	-0.06	10	70%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.0	2.8	31.1	18.0	26.2	3.4	35.4	1.5	18.2	162.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +35.0%

DAL +43.7%

HOU -38.0%

DAL +5.1%

DAL +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	16.0	14.9	15.5	102.9	109.7	104.0
season	16.0	14.9		104.2	108.2
opponent	15.5	15.8		103.4	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	16.5	15.8	16.2	16.8	13.5	16.0
DAL	15.5	14.2	14.5	15.9	13.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bostjan Nachbar	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-7	7	0.0	16.2	-16.16	24.0	14.8	9.22
Andre Barrett	39	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.23	7	-14	21	13.9	17.2	-3.30	16.4	13.9	2.56
Reece Gaines	26	24	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.00	-2	-5	3	16.0	16.0	-0.05	15.0	14.8	0.22
Dikembe Mutombo	4	3	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.05	-4	-3	-1	20.2	15.8	4.42	11.7	15.0	-3.30
Clar. Weatherspoon	17	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.14	-2	-5	3	13.9	16.4	-2.54	15.6	14.7	0.89
Scott Padgett	21	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-9	11	13.0	16.8	-3.77	15.3	14.8	0.59
Yao Ming	69	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-2	-3	17.0	13.9	3.12	14.6	15.6	-1.00
Juwan Howard	48	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-1	-5	17.5	14.7	2.73	13.8	15.8	-2.01
Maurice Taylor	41	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-3	-1	15.3	16.5	-1.13	15.5	14.4	1.13
Tracy McGrady	97	96	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-7	7	16.2	12.0	4.25	14.9	14.3	0.63
Jim Jackson	88	92	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.23	-6	-1	-5	15.4	19.3	-3.90	14.9	14.5	0.37
Bob Sura	64	62	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	8	-23	17.4	13.6	3.80	14.0	16.1	-2.07

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	96	97	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.27	12	-5	17	14.7	17.7	-3.05	16.4	9.7	6.73
Erick Dampier	72	71	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-4	15	14.2	16.4	-2.12	17.0	13.7	3.26
Jerry Stackhouse	70	71	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.35	8	-1	9	15.1	14.5	0.57	15.3	17.5	-2.22
Jason Terry	72	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.22	10	-3	13	15.1	14.4	0.74	15.2	17.8	-2.58
Josh Howard	87	86	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.30	0	7	-7	14.6	16.2	-1.63	16.3	14.6	1.62
Shawn Bradley	9	10	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	4	-1	14.9	14.9	0.02	15.9	16.0	-0.11
Calvin Booth	7	7	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.04	2	5	-3	16.0	14.8	1.21	16.3	16.0	0.31
Devin Harris	32	32	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.09	-3	10	-13	13.9	15.3	-1.40	17.4	15.4	2.04
Marquis Daniels	64	63	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.01	-3	10	-13	15.6	13.7	1.94	15.4	16.9	-1.47
Alan Henderson	6	6	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.01	-5	12	-17	20.7	14.5	6.15	9.7	16.4	-6.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.68,0.42,0.54,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 117, UTA 127	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.73,0.89,0.79,0.45,0.09,0.54,0.81,0.89,0.91,0.98,1	90.1%
SAC 96, MIA 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.76,0.72,0.86,0.72,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.68,0.71,0.97,1,1	89.8%
CHI 85, UTA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.78,0.57,0.83,0.46,0.45,0.85,0.78,0.83,1	88.4%