NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	109		Excitement	13.1 [10]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (GSW): +17.6%
Golden State Warriors	115		Comeback	10.4 [148]		LVP	Jamaal Magloire (NOH): -57.1%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
P.J. Brown	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1	-0.02	0.12	0.00	11	50%	0.12	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.10
Darrell Armstrong	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
David West	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	91%	0.11	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
George Lynch	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Freije	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	5	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Lee Nailon	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	16	47%	0.02	1	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Junior Harrington	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.05	-0.10	0.04	7	57%	0.00	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
David Wesley	-0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.08,-0.01,-0.07,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2	-0.00	-0.18	0.02	21	50%	-0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	-0.57	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.53,-0.53,-0.56,-0.57	-0.15	-0.42	-0.00	21	47%	-0.41	4	-0.16	16	56%	-0.12

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	-0.06	0.22	-0.01	7	36%	0.24	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	7	65%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.02
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	8	35%	0.03	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06,-0.07,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.08	-0.02	18	50%	0.03	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.02,0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.25	-0.25	-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	14	49%	-0.19	3	-0.07	15	73%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.06	-0.22	-0.00	7	44%	-0.17	2	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Jason Richardson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.41,-0.41,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.44	-0.44	-0.08	-0.37	-0.00	28	42%	-0.43	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2		OT3	Total
this game	21.1	1.8	33.0	15.8	26.2	0.1	38.5	2.3	20.3	2.5	13.3	1.7	17.9	194.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +5.8%

NOH -30.4%

NOH -4.2%

GSW +53.9%

GSW +24.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	GSW	NBA	NOH	GSW	NBA
this game	16.1	16.0	15.5	92.4	97.5	104.0
season	16.5	15.0		97.7	102.3
opponent	15.2	15.7		104.7	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOH	17.3	16.7	16.9	15.4	17.1	16.6
GSW	17.0	14.6	17.4	16.7	14.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrell Armstrong	69	70	0.41	-0.91	1.32	0.24	6	-12	18	17.3	14.3	3.01	16.5	15.2	1.28
George Lynch	23	20	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.15	-5	-1	-4	13.7	16.6	-2.89	16.3	15.9	0.46
Chris Andersen	20	21	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-6	6	16.5	16.0	0.58	17.4	15.6	1.78
Matt Freije	23	20	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.02	-2	-4	2	15.2	16.3	-1.06	13.8	16.4	-2.61
David Wesley	98	99	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.36	7	-13	20	15.5	19.0	-3.59	16.1	15.1	1.03
David West	24	23	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	4	-14	17.9	15.6	2.32	12.1	16.9	-4.76
Lee Nailon	80	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-5	4	15.7	16.8	-1.10	15.7	16.6	-0.89
J.R. Smith	11	10	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	8	-22	17.4	15.9	1.43	13.6	16.2	-2.59
P.J. Brown	96	97	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.43	1	-7	8	15.9	16.9	-0.98	16.7	12.5	4.19
Jamaal Magloire	87	91	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.49	0	-6	6	17.0	13.5	3.46	16.4	14.4	2.07
Junior Harrington	59	57	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.49	-12	6	-18	15.1	17.0	-1.86	15.5	16.4	-0.99

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Adonal Foyle	63	60	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.52	13	-7	20	15.3	16.8	-1.53	16.2	15.9	0.37
Eduardo Najera	76	72	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.41	8	-2	10	15.5	16.8	-1.31	16.3	15.7	0.68
Calbert Cheaney	71	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-6	18	15.3	17.0	-1.79	15.2	17.3	-2.13
Mickael Pietrus	24	27	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.02	13	-7	20	15.4	16.1	-0.74	16.6	15.9	0.68
Derek Fisher	35	40	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.11	11	-5	16	15.8	16.0	-0.24	15.5	16.4	-0.90
Jason Richardson	94	92	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.35	-6	12	-18	15.8	16.5	-0.72	16.1	16.0	0.04
Speedy Claxton	84	83	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.21	-3	9	-12	15.9	16.2	-0.38	15.6	17.2	-1.65
Clifford Robinson	41	42	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	10	-14	17.2	15.3	1.88	16.8	15.7	1.15
Mike Dunleavy	48	51	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.01	-5	11	-16	17.3	15.1	2.23	16.0	16.1	-0.15
Dale Davis	54	53	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.02	-9	15	-24	17.1	15.0	2.04	17.1	15.2	1.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.85,0.92,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.5,0.45,0.28,0.43,0.42,0.54,0.62,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.71,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 86, LAC 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.89,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	88.1%
GSW 115, TOR 120	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.95,0.87,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.99,1	87.3%
HOU 94, NOH 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.85,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.89,0.76,0.97,1	87.1%