NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	97		Excitement	4.5 [949]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +11.5%
Detroit Pistons	82		Comeback	1.4 [433]		LVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): -10.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.01	7	79%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Jermaine O'Neal	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.08	14	48%	0.05	0	0.00	14	71%	0.04
Eddie Gill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	71%	0.03	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
David Harrison	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	10	65%	0.10	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	19	51%	0.03	3	-0.05	9	89%	0.03
Stephen Jackson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	12	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	17	53%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	15	54%	0.01	3	-0.05	7	100%	0.03
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	11	50%	-0.00	3	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	5	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	10	48%	-0.07	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.04
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	3.7	36.0	17.8	32.8	1.0	48.0	168.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +34.9%

IND +8.5%

IND +4.9%

IND +6.3%

DET -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	15.2	17.5	15.5	110.2	93.2	104.0
season	16.8	16.7		101.9	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.5		98.9	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	13.8	13.0	18.6	15.9	15.2
DET	17.5	17.0	16.5	19.3	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	69	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.08	11	4	7	15.1	15.4	-0.31	18.3	15.1	3.16
Metta World Peace	78	78	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	6	3	15.4	13.1	2.35	17.5	17.8	-0.29
Austin Croshere	69	66	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.13	7	8	-1	15.9	12.7	3.12	17.3	18.4	-1.09
Eddie Gill	20	21	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.03	12	3	9	11.6	16.2	-4.64	18.0	17.4	0.66
Jermaine O'Neal	67	66	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	8	-1	15.4	14.6	0.80	17.7	17.1	0.55
James Jones	10	11	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	5	5	8.3	16.1	-7.76	18.3	17.4	0.83
Fred Jones	31	33	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.07	10	5	5	13.8	15.9	-2.07	17.0	17.9	-0.87
Jamaal Tinsley	69	69	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	10	-5	16.1	11.9	4.19	17.7	16.9	0.76
David Harrison	27	28	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.06	4	11	-7	16.8	14.5	2.36	15.8	18.4	-2.58

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darvin Ham	20	19	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.09	6	-21	27	14.0	18.6	-4.52	16.6	14.8	1.85
Lindsey Hunter	23	22	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-15	15	15.7	18.2	-2.45	14.8	15.3	-0.55
Elden Campbell	15	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-12	9	18.4	17.4	1.03	13.2	15.5	-2.38
Rasheed Wallace	53	54	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-6	-3	18.6	15.9	2.76	15.2	15.2	-0.04
Antonio McDyess	35	34	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.01	-8	-7	-1	16.9	18.0	-1.10	16.2	14.5	1.67
Smush Parker	18	16	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.28	-19	4	-23	18.7	17.2	1.48	10.6	16.2	-5.65
Chauncey Billups	74	74	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	-8	1	17.8	16.1	1.67	15.7	12.2	3.53
Ben Wallace	70	72	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.15	-8	-7	-1	17.3	18.6	-1.34	15.6	13.5	2.06
Tayshaun Prince	55	58	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	-0.15	-8	-7	-1	18.0	16.8	1.21	14.9	15.6	-0.69
Richard Hamilton	77	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.04	-19	4	-23	17.8	16.0	1.77	15.1	15.9	-0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.27,0.23,0.15,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.26,0.19,0.13,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 115, CLE 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.7%
DEN 88, SAS 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.05,0,0,0	93.7%
BKN 95, BOS 83	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.6%