NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	115		Excitement	4.3 [942]		MVP	Peja Stojakovic (SAC): +15.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Comeback	1.2 [1130]		LVP	Scot Pollard (SAC): -10.0%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.17	0.03	0.04	23	67%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.03	-0.03	13	61%	0.14	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.02	0.01	15	60%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lawrence Funderburke	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jabari Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	75%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Vlade Divac	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	8	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	9	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Scot Pollard	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	29%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamond Murray	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	19	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	13	46%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trajan Langdon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	0.03	11	66%	0.03	2	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	11	61%	0.00	4	-0.03	6	33%	-0.01
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	61%	-0.03	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	1.7	24.3	14.8	22.0	1.8	30.2	114.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +26.6%

CLE -2.1%

SAC +25.2%

SAC +4.9%

CLE -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	CLE	NBA	SAC	CLE	NBA
this game	16.1	14.2	15.6	119.8	105.3	102.3
season	14.2	15.8		106.6	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		106.2	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.1	12.4	18.8	18.8	16.1
CLE	13.1	16.4	13.9	13.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Jackson	46	44	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.19	25	-9	34	16.7	15.6	1.12	16.9	11.8	5.04
Hedo Turkoglu	46	44	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.06	18	-2	20	16.4	15.9	0.49	16.5	12.2	4.27
Peja Stojakovic	82	80	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.13	10	6	4	17.1	10.1	6.99	14.2	13.9	0.38
Lawrence Funderburke	24	23	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.19	19	-3	22	11.5	17.6	-6.10	15.6	13.7	1.89
Vlade Divac	70	69	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	10	-4	18.0	11.2	6.80	13.9	15.0	-1.17
Scot Pollard	60	60	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	13	-10	15.4	17.3	-1.95	14.3	14.0	0.33
Doug Christie	66	65	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	16	-16	16.1	16.1	-0.03	14.4	13.7	0.76
Mike Bibby	62	61	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.19	-5	21	-26	17.2	14.2	3.00	12.9	16.5	-3.55
Jabari Smith	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	9.3	16.6	-7.23	6.7	14.7	-8.03
Brent Price	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	9.3	16.6	-7.23	6.7	14.7	-8.03
Gerald Wallace	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	9.3	16.6	-7.23	6.7	14.7	-8.03
Mateen Cleaves	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	9.3	16.6	-7.23	6.7	14.7	-8.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trajan Langdon	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-15	14	6.7	14.7	-8.03	9.3	16.6	-7.23
Lamond Murray	75	78	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-17	18	13.7	15.9	-2.15	17.2	11.3	5.95
Ricky Davis	42	44	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-9	2	14.7	13.7	1.01	16.2	16.0	0.17
Chris Mihm	67	69	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.19	-2	-14	12	13.7	15.3	-1.56	16.3	15.6	0.67
Andre Miller	80	82	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	-11	6	13.6	17.2	-3.56	16.2	15.6	0.64
Brian Skinner	17	16	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.10	-12	-4	-8	15.8	13.8	2.01	13.8	16.6	-2.76
Michael Doleac	62	63	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.06	-11	-5	-6	13.8	14.8	-1.01	16.4	15.5	0.91
Jumaine Jones	21	20	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.16	-15	-1	-14	16.8	13.4	3.38	12.9	16.9	-4.00
Bimbo Coles	29	29	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.20	-18	2	-20	13.9	14.3	-0.46	16.0	16.2	-0.16
Wesley Person	71	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.15	-10	-6	-4	15.2	11.0	4.27	16.3	15.6	0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.38,0.47,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.17,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 106, HOU 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
SEA 95, ATL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.27,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.01,0	95.3%
DET 95, MIA 81	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%