NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	85		Excitement	4.6 [930]		MVP	Ray Allen (SEA): +10.1%
Seattle SuperSonics	106		Comeback	1.4 [982]		LVP	Antoine Walker (ATL): -16.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	64%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kenny Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Anthony Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	75%	0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	7	69%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	0.04	5	50%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.16	-0.04	-0.07	20	32%	-0.10	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Antoine Walker	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.11	-0.03	0.02	21	50%	-0.03	6	-0.13	6	67%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.00	0.00	16	76%	0.18	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	-0.03	5	65%	0.06	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	3	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Robert Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mateen Cleaves	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	18	52%	0.03	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.01
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.02	-0.03	10	39%	-0.03	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	1.7	31.3	15.6	27.0	2.0	34.2	137.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +45.9%

SEA +1.1%

ATL -3.1%

SEA +6.3%

ATL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	SEA	NBA	ATL	SEA	NBA
this game	16.5	16.4	15.5	96.6	121.8	104.0
season	15.6	16.5		98.1	109.5
opponent	15.6	15.1		107.9	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.3	16.0	15.7	17.3	16.5
SEA	18.7	13.4	16.4	17.8	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Miller	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-24	27	11.7	16.7	-4.96	16.5	16.4	0.08
Royal Ivey	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-23	25	13.2	16.7	-3.49	20.0	16.2	3.79
Josh Smith	28	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.06	-3	-18	15	13.0	18.1	-5.17	16.7	16.3	0.45
Kevin Willis	50	49	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.08	-5	-16	11	16.7	16.2	0.44	17.1	15.5	1.64
Josh Childress	15	16	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.03	-7	-14	7	16.6	16.5	0.13	14.3	16.9	-2.59
Kenny Anderson	58	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.19	-13	-8	-5	18.4	12.7	5.75	16.8	15.6	1.21
Jon Barry	34	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-14	7	14.1	18.0	-3.86	17.2	16.0	1.16
Boris Diaw	64	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.07	-17	-4	-13	16.2	17.2	-1.05	15.9	17.6	-1.70
Predrag Drobnjak	38	38	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.03	-16	-5	-11	16.2	16.7	-0.44	15.5	17.1	-1.64
Al Harrington	66	68	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.06	-17	-4	-13	18.0	12.1	5.86	16.2	17.4	-1.21
Antoine Walker	78	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.20	-25	4	-29	16.8	14.4	2.36	16.6	15.3	1.22

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	69	70	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.06	19	2	17	15.7	19.3	-3.67	16.4	16.8	-0.43
Rashard Lewis	67	68	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.01	15	6	9	15.9	18.1	-2.24	17.5	12.9	4.64
Vladimir Radmanovic	40	41	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.27	24	-3	27	16.7	16.2	0.55	18.0	15.1	2.88
Antonio Daniels	48	48	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.25	23	-2	25	16.1	16.9	-0.81	17.3	15.5	1.77
Danny Fortson	28	28	0.25	0.25	-0.01	-0.08	11	10	1	17.1	16.1	1.06	14.6	17.4	-2.76
Reggie Evans	53	54	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.09	11	10	1	15.9	17.2	-1.33	17.6	14.7	2.95
Luke Ridnour	52	50	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.08	10	11	-1	17.8	14.4	3.39	16.6	16.4	0.17
Nick Collison	20	21	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.05	4	17	-13	17.6	16.1	1.53	13.4	17.4	-4.02
Robert Swift	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	24	-27	16.5	16.4	0.08	11.7	16.7	-4.96
Mateen Cleaves	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	24	-27	16.5	16.4	0.08	11.7	16.7	-4.96
Jerome James	33	34	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	23	-25	17.2	15.9	1.32	15.0	17.4	-2.43
Damien Wilkins	17	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	25	-29	15.1	16.7	-1.63	15.0	16.9	-1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.73,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 85, IND 104	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.55,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.76,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
MIN 106, TOR 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
LAL 91, UTA 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.73,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%