NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	109		Excitement	13.7 [6]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +37.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	104		Comeback	6.3 [145]		LVP	Jeff McInnis (CLE): -48.5%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.23,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.38	0.03	0.35	0.00	12	67%	0.47	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.08
Jamaal Tinsley	0.34	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.34	-0.01	0.35	-0.00	13	50%	0.38	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.05
Scot Pollard	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11	-0.01	0.12	0.00	9	48%	0.11	0	0.00	3	0%	-0.05
Jonathan Bender	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.00	8	69%	0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	5	69%	0.12	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.06
David Harrison	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.08,0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.00	-0.11	-0.00	29	49%	-0.03	1	-0.07	5	60%	-0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.29	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.16	-0.14	-0.00	12	31%	-0.18	3	-0.11	5	60%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18	0.18	0.06	0.13	0.00	5	85%	0.20	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.04
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	83%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.07	-0.02	24	58%	0.05	2	-0.06	12	92%	0.02
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.00	7	43%	0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	40%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.26,-0.21,-0.21,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.09,-0.02,0.02,0.13,0.02,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	19	56%	0.19	6	-0.32	12	83%	-0.10
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.46,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.27,-0.33,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.49	-0.49	-0.17	-0.32	-0.00	14	22%	-0.29	1	-0.19	4	25%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	24.7	2.5	30.4	15.4	22.4	2.5	37.9	1.7	13.0	1.6	21.2	173.1
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	1.9	17.4	1.9	17.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +52.6%

CLE -16.7%

CLE -6.4%

IND +19.6%

IND +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	14.6	18.0	15.5	100.0	99.0	104.0
season	16.8	16.2		101.9	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		103.9	101.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	14.4	15.0	15.6	14.3	15.1	14.8
CLE	19.9	15.7	17.9	18.5	22.4	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	85	82	0.97	-0.47	1.43	0.64	11	-6	17	14.4	15.2	-0.77	18.5	16.3	2.25
Metta World Peace	95	91	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.47	11	-6	17	14.2	17.4	-3.20	17.9	18.6	-0.64
Jamaal Tinsley	87	84	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.33	8	-3	11	14.1	16.4	-2.31	17.8	19.0	-1.23
Austin Croshere	80	78	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.35	-3	8	-11	15.3	12.6	2.65	17.4	19.9	-2.47
Fred Jones	51	48	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.10	1	4	-3	14.0	15.1	-1.14	17.8	18.2	-0.46
Eddie Gill	24	22	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.04	-1	6	-7	15.3	14.4	0.93	18.3	17.9	0.38
Jonathan Bender	29	27	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	4	-3	15.1	14.4	0.73	19.0	17.7	1.27
David Harrison	12	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	8	-11	17.3	14.2	3.11	20.6	17.7	2.96
Stephen Jackson	74	72	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.20	0	5	-5	14.5	14.6	-0.09	17.3	19.6	-2.27

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	41	41	0.53	-1.03	1.56	0.41	4	-9	13	18.0	18.0	-0.03	14.3	14.7	-0.40
Scott Williams	15	16	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.02	10	-15	25	15.2	18.5	-3.29	18.9	13.8	5.05
Sasha Pavlovic	20	24	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.18	2	-7	9	16.6	18.3	-1.69	14.8	14.5	0.34
Ira Newble	15	17	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.03	5	-10	15	14.1	18.7	-4.53	17.6	14.0	3.65
Drew Gooden	46	46	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.05	-2	-3	1	19.2	17.1	2.09	14.2	14.8	-0.61
Jeff McInnis	87	89	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-1	-3	18.4	16.1	2.30	13.8	18.2	-4.45
Eric Snow	52	53	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.33	-8	3	-11	18.0	18.0	0.00	15.1	14.1	0.95
LeBron James	93	96	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.35	-10	5	-15	18.5	14.4	4.07	14.2	17.6	-3.46
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	89	91	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.31	-13	8	-21	18.7	14.5	4.15	14.1	17.1	-3.05
Robert Traylor	57	60	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.75	-4	-1	-3	17.5	18.7	-1.19	15.5	13.4	2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.31,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.52,0.39,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.71,0.66,0.75,0.39,0.45,0.27,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.57,0.72,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 107, MIN 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.27,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.62,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.64,0.65,0.83,0.53,0.17,0.43,0.42,1	87.7%
CHH 89, CHI 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.46,0.15,0.23,0	87.6%
MIN 87, DEN 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.57,0.38,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.45,0.67,0.17,1	87.6%