NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	7.8 [260]		MVP	Moochie Norris (NYK): +34.6%
New Orleans Hornets	97		Comeback	8.8 [67]		LVP	Frank Williams (NYK): -13.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moochie Norris	0.35	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.36,0.35	0.07	0.28	-0.00	18	55%	0.35	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Sweetney	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.08	0.11	0.00	9	76%	0.21	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
DerMarr Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	6	62%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.07
Dikembe Mutombo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	11	58%	0.04	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	56%	-0.01	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	6	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	4	22%	-0.03	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Vin Baker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	8	43%	-0.07	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Frank Williams	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	7	25%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
David Wesley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.06,-0.12,-0.02	-0.02	0.11	-0.11	0.01	13	72%	0.04	1	-0.07	6	67%	-0.06
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	8	53%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	8	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Baron Davis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	-0.01	13	45%	-0.10	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	15	50%	-0.03	4	-0.11	12	92%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.0	32.1	15.7	27.1	2.7	38.8	142.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +43.3%

NOH -9.7%

NYK +11.7%

NYK +3.2%

NYK +1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NOH	NBA	NYK	NOH	NBA
this game	16.2	15.2	15.7	109.8	106.6	100.5
season	15.5	16.0		98.6	99.3
opponent	15.7	15.8		99.4	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.1	16.5	17.4	17.2	16.2
NOH	15.9	13.5	15.4	16.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	43	43	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.45	12	-8	20	15.7	16.7	-1.06	15.4	15.1	0.31
Michael Sweetney	53	51	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.43	4	0	4	16.8	15.5	1.22	14.9	15.6	-0.75
Moochie Norris	75	74	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	1	2	16.8	13.8	2.96	15.0	16.2	-1.24
Frank Williams	41	41	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.55	-3	7	-10	18.0	14.9	3.09	14.8	15.6	-0.78
DerMarr Johnson	39	38	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.50	-3	7	-10	18.2	14.8	3.41	14.2	16.0	-1.84
Tim Thomas	50	50	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.12	9	-5	14	14.9	17.9	-2.98	15.9	14.4	1.53
Stephon Marbury	24	24	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	2	0	14.1	17.0	-2.92	15.9	15.0	0.93
Shandon Anderson	47	47	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.13	3	1	2	14.8	17.8	-2.97	15.7	14.7	0.97
Vin Baker	43	43	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.14	3	1	2	16.1	16.4	-0.32	15.7	14.8	0.89
Kurt Thomas	39	39	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.08	1	3	-2	15.5	16.8	-1.22	15.7	14.9	0.85
Dikembe Mutombo	6	5	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.07	-11	15	-26	21.5	15.9	5.63	9.8	15.5	-5.75

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shammond Williams	51	50	0.09	-0.59	0.69	0.06	1	-5	6	15.7	14.6	1.17	14.8	18.0	-3.24
Robert Traylor	30	28	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.11	7	-11	18	15.6	15.1	0.50	17.4	15.7	1.66
David West	19	20	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.03	4	-8	12	14.2	15.5	-1.29	17.7	15.8	1.87
Steven Smith	10	13	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-4	4	15.7	15.2	0.53	9.5	17.3	-7.80
George Lynch	47	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.06	-5	1	-6	15.6	14.8	0.84	15.3	17.2	-1.83
P.J. Brown	67	68	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	1	-6	15.2	15.3	-0.08	15.9	17.2	-1.37
David Wesley	75	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	0	-4	15.0	16.3	-1.31	16.4	15.5	0.89
Baron Davis	49	50	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.53	0	-4	4	14.6	15.9	-1.30	17.7	14.5	3.29
Jamaal Magloire	65	67	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.24	-13	9	-22	15.4	14.7	0.70	15.9	17.1	-1.15
Stacey Augmon	42	42	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.48	-5	1	-6	15.1	15.3	-0.25	18.6	14.2	4.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.6,0.7,0.73,0.78,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.7,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.6,0.59,0.78,0.81,0.46,0.32,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 95, HOU 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.83,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.29,0.16,0.09,0	91.1%
LAC 96, PHX 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.73,0.73,0.63,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.69,0.58,0.67,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.46,0.17,0.28,0	90.5%
PHI 118, NYK 110	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.8,0.89,0.79,0.74,0.87,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.72,0.86,0.71,0.78,0.62,0.45,0.1,0.04,0	90.3%