NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	94		Excitement	5.1 [788]		MVP	Devin Brown (SAS): +13.2%
Utah Jazz	81		Comeback	2.3 [222]		LVP	Tony Parker (SAS): -18.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Brown	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.04	0.02	13	68%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Robert Horry	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	10	56%	0.02	0	0.00	12	67%	-0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	10	56%	0.04	1	-0.04	7	71%	0.02
Jason Hart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	11	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	8	87%	-0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.21	0.01	-0.02	11	25%	-0.07	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.05

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	15	61%	0.12	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.09	0.01	0.07	3	125%	0.03	1	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Michael Ruffin	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	57%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	14	46%	-0.06	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	3	25%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.06
Carlos Arroyo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Raul Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.4	29.8	15.0	22.1	2.5	31.2	127.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +18.5%

SAS +4.7%

SAS +1.7%

SAS +24.3%

SAS +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	16.9	17.6	15.7	113.3	96.4	100.5
season	15.9	17.2		100.1	99.4
opponent	15.2	15.8		100.8	92.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.3	13.5	16.8	20.7	16.9
UTA	16.2	19.3	17.5	17.2	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Brown	48	48	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.06	23	-10	33	16.8	17.1	-0.22	18.0	16.9	1.13
Manu Ginobili	45	46	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.09	12	1	11	17.6	16.1	1.52	18.0	17.1	0.88
Rasho Nesterovic	56	55	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.25	6	7	-1	16.9	17.0	-0.05	17.0	18.7	-1.67
Tony Parker	61	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	3	7	17.0	16.7	0.33	17.0	19.5	-2.55
Robert Horry	25	26	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	5	3	15.0	17.8	-2.82	19.1	16.9	2.25
Hedo Turkoglu	64	63	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	7	-1	17.5	14.8	2.70	17.8	16.7	1.13
Tim Duncan	56	56	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.00	6	7	-1	17.3	16.2	1.10	18.4	15.8	2.61
Malik Rose	21	23	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	13	-13	17.0	16.9	0.10	16.3	18.0	-1.67
Bruce Bowen	33	33	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	15	-17	15.3	18.0	-2.65	17.0	17.9	-0.87
Jason Hart	6	6	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	17	-21	18.5	16.8	1.69	12.2	18.0	-5.81

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Arroyo	47	45	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.11	6	-19	25	17.6	17.5	0.13	16.0	18.1	-2.07
Michael Ruffin	7	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.00	0	-13	13	14.6	17.8	-3.26	18.2	16.8	1.34
Tom Gugliotta	48	47	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.10	3	-16	19	17.4	17.7	-0.28	15.8	18.4	-2.68
Mo Williams	16	16	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-10	7	16.1	17.9	-1.77	19.7	16.3	3.42
Jarron Collins	59	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-11	9	16.7	19.6	-2.85	16.8	17.3	-0.56
Andrei Kirilenko	58	59	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.17	-2	-11	9	17.2	18.4	-1.25	16.7	17.5	-0.81
Sasha Pavlovic	26	24	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	-2	-9	18.4	17.2	1.25	17.5	16.7	0.81
Gordan Giricek	70	68	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-7	1	16.6	22.6	-6.01	16.7	17.7	-0.98
Greg Ostertag	18	19	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.01	-11	-2	-9	21.5	16.5	5.02	17.1	16.9	0.16
Mikki Moore	21	21	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	-3	-7	20.0	16.7	3.25	16.8	17.0	-0.22
Raja Bell	29	30	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	0	-13	18.4	17.1	1.30	19.3	15.6	3.66
Raul Lopez	21	22	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.01	-16	3	-19	18.5	17.2	1.29	16.9	17.0	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.14,0.23,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 103, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.27,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
NJN 102, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.13,0.22,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.9%
WAS 104, MIN 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.33,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.19,0.23,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0	93.8%