NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	86		Excitement	6.1 [576]		MVP	Brian Skinner (MIL): +10.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	95		Comeback	1.8 [819]		LVP	Metta World Peace (IND): -11.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kenny Anderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.01	8	78%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Fred Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	46%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Austin Croshere	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0,0,0.01,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	15	56%	0.00	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.05
Scot Pollard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	11	48%	0.02	2	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
Anthony Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.03	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.12	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	16	36%	-0.08	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.04	0.00	9	67%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	10	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	16	60%	0.10	2	-0.07	10	90%	0.03
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.02	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	8	100%	0.02
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	3	90%	0.08	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	13	46%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	-0.01	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Damon Jones	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	5	17%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.7	31.0	0.2	25.0	2.0	35.3	117.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +30.3%

MIL +6.9%

MIL +19.3%

IND -2.9%

IND -3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	MIL	NBA	IND	MIL	NBA
this game	18.0	15.3	15.7	100.0	109.2	100.5
season	16.7	15.3		101.1	103.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		103.3	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	19.7	17.1	17.9	17.2	18.0
MIL	13.6	13.6	18.9	15.5	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	21	21	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.15	9	-18	27	18.0	18.0	-0.05	16.3	15.0	1.33
Austin Croshere	31	33	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-10	11	17.4	18.3	-0.99	14.4	15.9	-1.49
Fred Jones	30	32	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-14	19	18.7	17.6	1.04	16.1	14.9	1.17
Kenny Anderson	36	37	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.40	9	-18	27	17.8	18.1	-0.36	16.9	14.1	2.83
Al Harrington	46	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.26	1	-10	11	18.3	17.6	0.77	16.5	14.0	2.51
Jeff Foster	44	42	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	0	-9	18.3	17.7	0.63	15.6	15.0	0.57
Anthony Johnson	50	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.17	-18	9	-27	18.1	17.8	0.36	14.1	16.9	-2.83
Reggie Miller	48	49	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	0	-9	17.1	19.2	-2.10	14.4	16.5	-2.14
Metta World Peace	62	63	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.13	-16	7	-23	17.8	18.5	-0.77	14.8	16.7	-1.97
Jermaine O'Neal	62	63	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.08	-18	9	-27	18.4	16.8	1.60	15.3	15.4	-0.07

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Smith	79	79	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.18	15	-6	21	15.2	17.0	-1.85	18.5	12.0	6.52
Toni Kukoc	51	49	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.23	10	-1	11	15.2	15.5	-0.30	17.8	18.3	-0.54
Dan Gadzuric	36	35	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.14	5	4	1	15.2	15.4	-0.17	18.3	17.8	0.55
Brevin Knight	43	42	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.08	7	2	5	14.3	16.3	-2.02	17.8	18.2	-0.44
Damon Jones	44	44	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.16	2	7	-5	16.3	14.3	2.02	18.2	17.8	0.44
Brian Skinner	51	51	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	5	-1	15.4	15.2	0.17	17.8	18.3	-0.55
Erick Strickland	31	32	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	4	1	15.2	15.4	-0.15	17.2	18.5	-1.28
Desmond Mason	61	59	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.20	-2	11	-13	16.0	13.7	2.32	16.9	20.4	-3.53
Michael Redd	39	39	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.10	-1	10	-11	14.8	15.7	-0.91	19.5	16.7	2.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.59,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.68,0.71,0.71,0.64,0.74,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 85, CHH 93	0.5,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.67,0.59,0.69,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.91,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.73,0.89,0.84,0.94,0.99,1	93.2%
WAS 94, MIN 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.69,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.82,0.78,0.86,0.93,0.97,0.99,1	93.2%
OKC 97, NOH 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.8,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.89,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	93.1%