NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	107		Excitement	5.3 [744]		MVP	Tyronn Lue (ORL): +13.9%
Orlando Magic	92		Comeback	1.4 [410]		LVP	Juwan Howard (ORL): -19.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Metta World Peace	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.06	-0.02	22	60%	0.15	3	-0.04	14	57%	-0.06
Austin Croshere	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	4	82%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	9	70%	0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Fred Jones	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	90%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Scot Pollard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Al Harrington	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.00	19	47%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Anthony Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.01	0.03	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	6	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	-0.02	-0.04	19	76%	0.24	5	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.04	0.03	7	100%	0.15	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Britton Johnsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reece Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	-0.03	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.20	-0.02	-0.03	11	9%	-0.13	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.09	-0.08	0.02	22	46%	-0.10	3	-0.10	8	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.0	29.6	16.0	26.3	2.5	32.5	133.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +20.8%

ORL -2.9%

IND +0.1%

IND +28.3%

IND +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ORL	NBA	IND	ORL	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.7	118.9	102.2	100.5
season	16.7	15.7		101.1	100.9
opponent	15.4	15.7		108.2	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.7	17.1	14.0	18.5	16.2
ORL	16.3	15.6	15.5	15.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	77	78	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.00	17	-2	19	15.3	21.9	-6.66	15.8	15.7	0.03
Jamaal Tinsley	58	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.02	13	2	11	14.7	19.0	-4.26	15.4	16.4	-0.98
Reggie Miller	50	50	0.33	0.17	0.15	-0.03	12	3	9	15.1	17.6	-2.52	15.7	15.9	-0.17
Al Harrington	70	69	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.02	10	5	5	16.1	16.6	-0.49	16.0	14.9	1.14
Jeff Foster	61	63	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.03	8	7	1	15.1	18.5	-3.34	15.5	16.4	-0.90
Scot Pollard	29	27	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	8	-1	18.5	15.1	3.34	16.4	15.5	0.90
Fred Jones	40	40	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.09	3	12	-9	17.6	15.1	2.52	15.9	15.7	0.17
Kenny Anderson	14	14	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.03	6	9	-3	19.8	15.6	4.22	14.8	16.0	-1.17
Austin Croshere	28	29	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	14	-13	19.1	14.9	4.14	14.9	16.2	-1.30
Anthony Johnson	23	20	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.16	-2	17	-19	18.0	15.6	2.33	17.8	15.2	2.60

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	18	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-18	21	16.8	15.5	1.32	18.3	15.7	2.65
Steven Hunter	14	13	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-13	11	17.3	15.5	1.79	15.1	16.4	-1.34
Reece Gaines	13	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-15	15	15.8	15.8	0.08	17.0	16.1	0.89
Keith Bogans	61	61	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-10	5	15.1	17.2	-2.11	16.8	15.0	1.80
Tyronn Lue	72	73	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-7	-1	15.8	15.5	0.35	15.5	19.4	-3.93
Britton Johnsen	25	26	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.12	-6	-9	3	15.5	15.9	-0.41	19.7	14.8	4.88
Juwan Howard	85	84	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-7	-1	15.8	14.6	1.25	15.7	23.8	-8.15
Zaza Pachulia	43	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-5	-5	15.3	16.2	-0.87	15.4	17.0	-1.63
Drew Gooden	70	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	0	-15	15.4	17.0	-1.64	16.1	16.7	-0.68
DeShawn Stevenson	49	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.26	-24	9	-33	16.6	14.8	1.88	16.0	16.5	-0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.11,0.07,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.05,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 104, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.23,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0	94.6%
IND 90, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.19,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.4%
SEA 90, CHI 80	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.2,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%