NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	89		Excitement	11.1 [22]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +9.8%
Houston Rockets	90		Comeback	3.1 [544]		LVP	Jalen Rose (TOR): -55.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.06	0.01	20	57%	0.15	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Corie Blount	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Bosh	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.04	-0.02	0.06	-0.00	12	50%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.08	6	33%	-0.12
Morris Peterson	-0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	0.01	-0.11	0.00	10	45%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.29	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.23,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.29	-0.07	-0.22	0.00	11	32%	-0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.56	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.32,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.56,-0.56	-0.10	-0.44	0.01	20	47%	-0.14	5	-0.41	3	67%	-0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.10	0.01	15	53%	0.17	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	6	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.03
Adrian Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	6	36%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.12	-0.04	17	47%	-0.02	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.12	-0.00	14	52%	0.05	2	-0.19	5	100%	0.05
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.21,-0.21,-0.36,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.52,-0.52	-0.53	-0.07	-0.44	0.02	20	53%	-0.33	5	-0.19	7	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	29.2	15.0	28.3	2.7	33.2	2.5	17.2	155.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -13.3%

HOU +15.8%

HOU +35.7%

TOR -1.2%

HOU +13.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	HOU	NBA	TOR	HOU	NBA
this game	16.3	16.3	15.7	91.8	91.8	100.5
season	16.8	16.5		94.8	98.8
opponent	15.6	15.7		97.1	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	16.2	17.7	16.0	16.0	14.7	16.3
HOU	15.1	14.3	16.0	20.0	17.0	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corie Blount	31	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-4	7	17.8	15.6	2.25	16.0	16.4	-0.40
Michael Curry	31	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	3	-7	16.6	16.2	0.40	14.9	17.0	-2.05
Morris Peterson	61	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	2	-5	15.7	17.3	-1.58	15.6	17.5	-1.94
Rod Strickland	50	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	2	-5	16.7	15.9	0.81	16.5	16.1	0.36
Donyell Marshall	55	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.41	2	-3	5	15.5	17.4	-1.93	17.2	15.1	2.08
Jalen Rose	89	90	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.50	2	-3	5	16.3	15.9	0.47	16.4	15.2	1.15
Chris Bosh	77	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	2	-5	16.2	16.8	-0.62	16.1	16.9	-0.81
Vince Carter	91	92	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.51	1	-2	3	16.5	14.2	2.28	16.8	9.2	7.61

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	74	75	0.82	-0.32	1.15	0.74	3	-2	5	16.6	15.2	1.40	15.6	18.7	-3.13
Bostjan Nachbar	51	49	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.58	6	-5	11	16.2	16.4	-0.23	16.5	16.1	0.36
Cuttino Mobley	94	93	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.48	1	0	1	16.4	15.2	1.10	16.3	16.7	-0.46
Steve Francis	90	89	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.51	-1	2	-3	16.4	15.1	1.29	16.1	19.0	-2.93
Maurice Taylor	77	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	-3	7	16.1	17.0	-0.88	16.3	16.2	0.09
Mark Jackson	8	8	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.03	2	-1	3	15.1	16.4	-1.29	19.0	16.1	2.93
Charles Oakley	1	1	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.04	0	1	-1	1.0	16.5	-15.46	24.0	16.2	7.77
Adrian Griffin	23	23	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	5	-9	17.1	16.1	1.08	15.6	16.5	-0.98
Eric Piatkowski	28	29	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.16	-1	2	-3	15.7	16.6	-0.88	16.7	16.2	0.49
Clar. Weatherspoon	44	42	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.07	-5	6	-11	16.4	16.2	0.19	17.4	15.5	1.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.74,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.71,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.64,0.47,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.31,0.45,0.33,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 110, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.59,0.54,0.68,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	89.8%
SAS 114, HOU 119	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.76,0.8,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.52,0.57,0.43,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.66,0.15,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.74,1	89.7%
MIA 111, ATL 114	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.76,0.72,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.45,0.43,0.58,1	89.4%