NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	89		Excitement	6.8 [445]		MVP	James Posey (MEM): +17.5%
Memphis Grizzlies	98		Comeback	1.2 [904]		LVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): -30.8%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Simmons	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	52%	0.01	0	0.00	7	100%	0.07
Quentin Richardson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0	0.02	0.02	0.04	24	51%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Eddie House	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	8	52%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Doug Overton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	13	46%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	14	47%	-0.01	3	-0.13	4	25%	-0.03
Corey Maggette	-0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.32,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.31,-0.31	-0.24	-0.07	-0.01	10	31%	-0.10	7	-0.21	6	67%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.13	0.04	-0.01	7	86%	0.18	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.10	0.01	11	68%	0.18	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	12	46%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theron Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	9	65%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.13	0.07	0.01	23	42%	-0.01	2	-0.05	11	55%	-0.05
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	7	40%	-0.04	4	-0.13	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.7	32.3	15.7	27.2	2.7	31.3	135.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +53.9%

LAC -20.1%

MEM +1.8%

MEM +10.9%

MEM +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	MEM	NBA	LAC	MEM	NBA
this game	15.7	14.3	15.7	94.7	100.0	100.5
season	15.5	15.3		101.3	102.3
opponent	15.7	15.4		100.5	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.9	16.5	15.0	14.4	15.7
MEM	14.5	13.0	13.8	16.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Wilcox	32	35	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.18	8	-17	25	16.8	15.1	1.72	14.4	14.3	0.04
Eddie House	9	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-5	1	16.8	15.6	1.21	15.6	14.2	1.33
Chris Kaman	53	56	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.09	-2	-7	5	16.8	14.2	2.59	14.7	13.9	0.82
Predrag Drobnjak	18	18	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	-2	-5	15.1	15.8	-0.77	12.6	14.7	-2.13
Doug Overton	16	17	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.14	-2	-7	5	13.9	16.1	-2.18	16.6	13.9	2.71
Bobby Simmons	48	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-9	9	16.1	15.3	0.82	15.1	13.6	1.48
Keyon Dooling	69	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.14	-3	-6	3	16.0	14.9	1.04	13.7	16.2	-2.56
Quentin Richardson	84	87	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-4	-1	15.5	16.8	-1.25	14.1	16.3	-2.17
Elton Brand	77	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.15	-13	4	-17	14.8	19.7	-4.91	14.5	13.7	0.82
Corey Maggette	64	66	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.05	-17	8	-25	15.3	16.5	-1.20	14.1	14.9	-0.78

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	72	70	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.16	18	-9	27	14.3	14.5	-0.16	15.1	17.4	-2.33
Jason Williams	65	62	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.14	16	-7	23	14.5	14.0	0.57	15.2	16.7	-1.53
Bonzi Wells	65	62	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.14	16	-7	23	14.5	14.0	0.57	15.2	16.7	-1.53
James Posey	66	64	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.11	13	-4	17	14.9	13.1	1.81	15.2	16.7	-1.55
Jake Tsakalidis	26	25	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.02	7	2	5	14.4	14.3	0.10	15.5	15.7	-0.22
Shane Battier	52	50	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.20	-4	13	-17	14.3	14.4	-0.12	16.0	15.3	0.64
Theron Smith	21	20	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	10	-11	12.0	15.0	-3.05	17.3	15.2	2.06
Stromile Swift	52	51	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.15	-6	15	-21	13.8	14.9	-1.11	16.0	15.3	0.70
Bo Outlaw	38	34	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.12	-7	16	-23	15.1	13.8	1.28	17.0	14.9	2.11
Earl Watson	33	32	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.10	-7	16	-23	14.0	14.5	-0.57	16.7	15.2	1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.8,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.53,0.69,0.84,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 90, HOU 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.44,0.53,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.66,0.69,0.89,0.97,0.96,1	93.4%
UTA 89, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.75,0.89,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.78,0.91,1	93.2%
MIL 93, DAL 103	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.71,0.62,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.65,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.83,0.88,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.78,0.95,0.96,1	93.2%