NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	108		Excitement	8.5 [159]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +37.7%
Atlanta Hawks	102		Comeback	2.3 [349]		LVP	Jeff McInnis (CLE): -33.5%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.38	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.27,0.38,0.38	0.08	0.28	-0.02	12	77%	0.43	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0.15	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.15	0.03	0.10	-0.02	23	58%	0.27	2	-0.11	13	85%	0.05
Carlos Boozer	0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13	0.10	0.03	-0.00	14	69%	0.14	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.03
DeSagana Diop	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dajuan Wagner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Ollie	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Eric Williams	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	3	25%	-0.13	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Jeff McInnis	-0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.29,-0.36,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.17	-0.18	-0.01	11	44%	-0.17	5	-0.17	10	60%	-0.07

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.34,0.34,0.36	0.36	0.07	0.28	-0.01	14	68%	0.45	2	-0.09	9	89%	0.04
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mamadou N'diaye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.09,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	30	46%	0.02	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Jason Collier	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.09	-0.02	9	62%	0.10	3	-0.19	8	100%	0.05
Jason Terry	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,0,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	17	44%	-0.02	3	-0.10	5	80%	0.01
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.03	6	17%	-0.06	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.5	36.2	14.6	27.2	2.4	32.6	143.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +11.4%

CLE +10.9%

CLE +10.6%

CLE +16.1%

CLE +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	14.7	14.1	15.7	108.0	102.0	100.5
season	15.7	15.3		99.8	98.2
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.0	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.4	16.0	13.7	15.8	14.7
ATL	15.4	12.3	14.0	14.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	54	55	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.27	20	-14	34	13.6	16.0	-2.40	14.3	13.9	0.42
Jeff McInnis	90	91	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.17	15	-9	24	14.5	15.9	-1.36	14.4	11.3	3.06
LeBron James	93	94	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.26	11	-5	16	14.5	17.4	-2.96	14.3	11.8	2.43
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	70	71	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	-2	10	14.8	14.5	0.26	14.1	14.1	0.07
Carlos Boozer	60	62	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	-5	16	14.9	14.3	0.55	14.2	13.9	0.28
Ira Newble	36	33	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.25	-5	11	-16	16.4	13.7	2.67	15.1	13.6	1.49
DeSagana Diop	17	15	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	6	-6	11.9	15.2	-3.30	15.0	14.0	1.04
Kevin Ollie	6	6	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	11	-16	14.0	14.7	-0.72	9.8	14.4	-4.56
Dajuan Wagner	4	3	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	10	-14	18.7	14.5	4.24	14.3	14.1	0.22
Tony Battie	44	44	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.15	-9	15	-24	15.0	14.4	0.53	13.6	14.6	-0.99
Lee Nailon	26	26	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	0.16	-12	18	-30	15.9	14.2	1.68	12.0	14.9	-2.81

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Collier	69	68	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.36	8	-14	22	13.6	15.4	-1.79	15.2	13.6	1.55
Mamadou N'diaye	39	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-3	0	14.6	13.8	0.73	15.0	14.5	0.52
Boris Diaw	36	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.01	-6	0	-6	14.1	14.1	-0.06	12.5	16.0	-3.56
Bob Sura	49	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.03	-8	2	-10	14.9	13.3	1.61	14.6	14.8	-0.20
Jason Terry	82	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.37	0	-6	6	14.2	13.6	0.69	15.7	10.5	5.13
Chris Crawford	79	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	0	-6	14.0	14.5	-0.45	14.3	16.1	-1.85
Stephen Jackson	100	99	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.33	-4	-2	-2	14.1	0.0	14.12	14.8	2.0	12.81
Joel Przybilla	46	47	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.25	-11	5	-16	13.7	14.5	-0.83	14.3	15.0	-0.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.25,0.31,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.47,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.53,0.61,0.37,0.55,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 101, LAC 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.57,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.46,0.32,0.42,0	90.1%
POR 108, OKC 105	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.3,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.47,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.45,0.61,0.68,0.72,0.45,0.58,0	89.2%
IND 101, LAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.39,0.32,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.42,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.47,0.21,0.16,0.01,0	89.1%