NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	101		Excitement	8.1 [225]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (MIN): +29.7%
Los Angeles Clippers	98		Comeback	2.1 [537]		LVP	Earl Boykins (LAC): -22.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.30	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3	0.10	0.19	-0.00	11	74%	0.32	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.08
Kevin Garnett	0.20	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.3,0.2	0.16	0.05	0.00	18	78%	0.37	3	-0.17	9	100%	0.08
Joe Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	6	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Felipe Lopez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.06	0.01	15	52%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Loren Woods	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Pack	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	7	37%	-0.04	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.22	0.22	0.14	0.08	-0.00	12	80%	0.24	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.04
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	0.00	10	58%	0.17	2	-0.14	4	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.13,0.13,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.06	0.01	14	63%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	7	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Obinna Ekezie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	63%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	7	59%	0.06	5	-0.21	8	37%	-0.06
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.22	-0.22	0.00	-0.22	0.00	7	47%	-0.22	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.0	29.2	17.8	25.1	2.5	40.4	141.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +18.0%

MIN +17.0%

MIN +20.6%

LAC -7.5%

MIN +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	15.7	17.0	15.6	113.5	112.6	102.3
season	15.0	15.9		106.7	103.6
opponent	15.4	16.1		104.1	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.8	16.9	16.8	16.9	15.7
LAC	16.7	17.4	16.7	17.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	80	77	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.42	9	-6	15	15.2	20.4	-5.27	17.1	16.6	0.49
Rasho Nesterovic	39	40	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.19	16	-13	29	13.4	17.5	-4.04	16.8	17.2	-0.39
Chauncey Billups	74	73	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.53	4	-1	5	15.4	17.3	-1.95	17.0	17.1	-0.04
Wally Szczerbiak	71	69	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	-3	9	15.5	16.6	-1.13	16.6	18.9	-2.34
Joe Smith	40	42	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.15	9	-6	15	14.5	16.7	-2.10	17.6	16.5	1.08
Felipe Lopez	15	13	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.35	-2	5	-7	14.1	16.0	-1.89	15.8	17.3	-1.49
Marc Jackson	19	19	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.03	2	1	1	16.9	15.4	1.51	16.1	17.3	-1.26
Gary Trent	29	28	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	4	-5	17.9	14.6	3.30	18.2	16.5	1.79
Sam Mitchell	8	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	7	-11	15.2	15.8	-0.50	15.4	17.2	-1.75
Loren Woods	17	16	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.09	-6	9	-15	18.7	15.0	3.71	18.4	16.7	1.64
Robert Pack	15	14	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	-0.12	-1	4	-5	17.3	15.4	1.95	17.1	17.0	0.04
Anthony Peeler	38	37	-0.48	0.98	-1.46	0.02	-17	20	-37	17.9	14.1	3.82	17.2	16.9	0.22

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miles	44	45	0.29	-0.79	1.09	0.00	10	-13	23	16.6	17.4	-0.81	17.2	14.2	3.02
Obinna Ekezie	1	1	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-5	7	24.0	17.0	7.05	2.0	15.9	-13.86
Earl Boykins	26	27	-0.17	-0.34	0.17	-0.49	11	-14	25	19.0	16.2	2.86	17.0	15.1	1.85
Quentin Richardson	62	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.56	9	-12	21	17.0	17.2	-0.29	15.9	15.2	0.73
Jeff McInnis	63	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	9	-21	16.4	18.6	-2.20	14.9	17.8	-2.91
Corey Maggette	69	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-4	5	16.8	17.9	-1.15	15.6	16.1	-0.44
Michael Olowokandi	64	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.02	-16	13	-29	17.3	16.2	1.11	15.5	16.2	-0.68
Elton Brand	80	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.39	-6	3	-9	17.2	15.4	1.75	15.8	14.1	1.70
Eric Piatkowski	26	28	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.19	-14	11	-25	16.6	17.2	-0.65	14.2	16.4	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.57,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.46,0.32,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 96, ATL 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.44,0.56,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.45,0.42,0	91.4%
DAL 92, LAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.47,0.53,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.23,0.42,0	91.0%
MEM 89, LAL 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.56,0.43,0.53,0.32,0.7,0.54,0.4,0.61,0.37,0.15,0.37,0	90.7%