inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 97 Excitement2.9 [1184] MVPCorliss Williamson (DET): +5.9%
Denver Nuggets 66 Comeback1.4 [440] LVPCarmelo Anthony (DEN): -18.8%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Corliss Williamson0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.05-0.00-0.011164%0.061-0.0000%0.00
Lindsey Hunter0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.010.00-0.05972%0.074-0.0100%0.00
Rasheed Wallace0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.010.011756%0.061-0.032100%0.01
Elden Campbell0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.001100%0.041-0.024100%0.02
Darvin Ham0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02480%0.011-0.0020%-0.03
Tremaine Fowlkes0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.050.00-0.06629%0.0100.002100%0.01
Darko Milicic0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.03540%0.0010.0000%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.030.000.05861%0.001-0.022100%0.01
Ben Wallace-0.030,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.03647%-0.002-0.02333%0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.13-0.00-0.06520%-0.024-0.0400%0.00
Mike James-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.100.00-0.031133%-0.072-0.002100%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rodney White0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.060.00-0.08750%0.023-0.002100%0.00
Francisco Elson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01175%0.0200.00250%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01267%-0.001-0.002100%-0.00
Marcus Camby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.00-0.04938%-0.0100.00367%-0.00
Jon Barry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.030.000.05667%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.00-0.02844%0.012-0.042100%0.00
Andre Miller0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00837%-0.041-0.0000%0.00
Earl Boykins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.100.00-0.061331%-0.042-0.0000%0.00
Nene0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.17-0.03-0.08828%-0.015-0.10250%-0.01
Carmelo Anthony0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.21-0.01-0.041722%-0.133-0.05250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.81.731.118.525.21.824.0125.0
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +30.4%
DET +8.8%
DET +5.1%
DET +6.1%
DEN -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETDENNBADETDENNBA
this game17.215.515.7110.275.0100.5
season16.214.999.2101.6
opponent15.416.0101.192.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET18.615.216.618.617.2
DEN17.417.516.111.415.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasheed Wallace55580.52-0.020.53-0.6339-84716.917.8-0.9817.212.24.94
Chauncey Billups64660.52-0.020.53-0.6339-84717.616.41.1916.612.34.29
Lindsey Hunter60590.450.050.39-0.111912716.019.9-3.9516.214.12.07
Tayshaun Prince40390.360.140.21-0.412652117.916.71.2116.214.91.33
Ben Wallace48480.290.210.09-0.292011917.417.10.2517.213.43.87
Corliss Williamson27260.210.29-0.080.12328-2516.117.7-1.6316.315.11.16
Darvin Ham40410.150.35-0.20-0.11922-1317.616.90.7113.517.3-3.79
Mike James52510.040.46-0.43-0.08427-2318.315.72.5713.318.5-5.17
Darko Milicic19180.000.50-0.500.03-132-3318.217.01.2411.416.5-5.08
Tremaine Fowlkes2929-0.010.52-0.530.04-233-3517.117.3-0.2012.517.0-4.48
Elden Campbell65-0.020.52-0.530.01-132-3315.317.4-2.0417.615.42.24

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Earl Boykins48480.07-0.570.640.012-333513.617.8-4.1918.615.62.91
Nikoloz Tskitishvili2424-0.00-0.500.500.09-3-282511.417.0-5.6018.616.71.85
Michael Doleac87-0.00-0.500.490.11-4-27239.716.1-6.3118.717.11.60
Chris Andersen2221-0.01-0.490.490.05-2-292712.716.4-3.6819.216.62.56
Rodney White4344-0.03-0.470.43-0.030-313112.818.1-5.2818.216.31.84
Francisco Elson2022-0.08-0.420.33-0.03-2-292713.116.2-3.0917.917.00.83
Jon Barry2829-0.27-0.23-0.040.02-10-211113.216.5-3.3415.718.0-2.36
Voshon Lenard4747-0.38-0.12-0.260.38-26-5-2117.712.94.8417.217.3-0.06
Andre Miller4748-0.39-0.11-0.270.26-22-9-1317.113.73.3816.318.4-2.08
Nene5858-0.44-0.06-0.390.29-25-6-1917.312.05.3416.818.1-1.36
Marcus Camby4544-0.47-0.03-0.430.44-310-3118.112.85.2816.318.2-1.84
Carmelo Anthony5048-0.49-0.01-0.480.45-321-3317.912.35.6316.418.3-1.90


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.14,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 126, PHI 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%
DAL 101, SAC 780.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.34,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.9%
DET 100, DAL 820.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.24,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%