NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	74		Excitement	7.6 [285]		MVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): +12.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	81		Comeback	1.4 [831]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIN): -43.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Hudson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	53%	-0.01	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Mark Madsen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	-0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	19	55%	0.11	4	-0.17	11	100%	0.07
Oliver Miller	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	2	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.09	-0.04	0.01	9	26%	-0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Michael Olowokandi	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	5	0%	-0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	-0.43	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.23,-0.44,-0.43	-0.08	-0.35	-0.00	14	43%	-0.24	3	-0.19	2	50%	-0.05

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.10	0.01	8	56%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.05	0.00	12	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.06
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	58%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	5	50%	0.04	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	11	42%	-0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.00	15	32%	-0.12	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.33,-0.29	-0.29	-0.07	-0.21	0.02	14	41%	-0.26	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	3.8	28.4	18.4	28.2	2.7	35.2	139.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +47.8%

MIN -12.6%

MIN -12.4%

PHI +25.9%

PHI +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHI	NBA	MIN	PHI	NBA
this game	16.8	16.8	15.7	87.1	94.2	100.5
season	15.6	16.2		103.2	96.7
opponent	15.8	16.1		99.5	98.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.1	17.3	18.6	17.4	16.8
PHI	19.2	14.7	17.4	16.1	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	36	38	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.06	6	-13	19	18.4	15.7	2.72	17.0	16.7	0.24
Trenton Hassell	58	59	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.01	4	-11	15	16.7	17.1	-0.33	17.7	15.0	2.62
Troy Hudson	22	23	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-3	-1	20.1	15.7	4.44	13.7	18.0	-4.23
Gary Trent	6	5	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-1	-5	20.5	16.6	3.93	10.0	17.3	-7.26
Fred Hoiberg	22	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	0	-7	17.1	16.8	0.33	14.8	17.6	-2.80
Wally Szczerbiak	34	33	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-2	-3	18.4	15.8	2.51	14.7	18.2	-3.52
Michael Olowokandi	31	30	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.02	-9	2	-11	15.9	17.4	-1.43	17.5	16.5	1.07
Kevin Garnett	73	75	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.31	0	-7	7	16.2	20.6	-4.35	17.3	13.8	3.46
Sam Cassell	63	63	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.27	-3	-4	1	15.7	20.1	-4.44	18.0	13.7	4.23
Oliver Miller	22	21	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-4	1	17.6	16.6	1.06	17.1	16.7	0.40
Latrell Sprewell	58	60	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.36	-8	1	-9	15.6	19.6	-3.97	17.5	15.3	2.14

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	70	68	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.34	12	-5	17	16.6	17.7	-1.12	15.8	21.1	-5.26
Samuel Dalembert	41	40	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.23	10	-3	13	17.6	16.2	1.38	16.4	17.2	-0.75
Eric Snow	68	68	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	-1	9	17.5	14.2	3.38	16.0	20.4	-4.46
Amal McCaskill	40	41	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.20	7	0	7	14.7	18.7	-4.04	18.6	15.2	3.31
Kyle Korver	42	42	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.28	-1	8	-9	16.3	17.4	-1.08	18.4	15.3	3.03
Kenny Thomas	73	72	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	9	-11	17.5	13.4	4.07	16.2	20.5	-4.27
John Salmons	42	42	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.02	1	6	-5	17.7	16.0	1.62	17.1	16.6	0.44
Willie Green	39	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.10	3	4	-1	14.9	18.5	-3.60	17.8	16.1	1.71
Zendon Hamilton	15	15	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	10	-13	19.7	16.2	3.51	17.9	16.6	1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.54,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.67,0.72,0.77,0.66,0.66,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.52,0.62,0.54,0.41,0.59,0.67,0.45,0.63,0.68,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, IND 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.57,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.87,0.83,0.72,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.67,1,1	92.4%
CHA 89, SEA 96	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.81,0.73,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.6,0.7,0.76,0.58,0.59,0.66,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.77,0.99,1	91.9%
CLE 93, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.83,1	91.9%