NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	85		Excitement	6.0 [605]		MVP	Kelvin Cato (HOU): +7.4%
Houston Rockets	89		Comeback	1.7 [800]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): -17.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05	0.08	-0.03	-0.01	14	65%	0.10	1	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	75%	0.12	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dale Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	2	100%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	15	47%	-0.02	3	-0.07	6	83%	-0.01
Ruben Patterson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	0.00	1	50%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.06
Damon Stoudamire	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.08	-0.09	0.02	12	50%	-0.02	5	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	12	57%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.03	-0.01	10	40%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	13	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Yao Ming	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	10	54%	0.03	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.06	-0.02	17	49%	-0.03	4	-0.11	9	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	28.1	15.7	25.0	1.6	36.5	132.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +10.4%

HOU +17.2%

POR -5.8%

HOU +27.4%

HOU +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	HOU	NBA	POR	HOU	NBA
this game	16.4	16.5	15.7	97.7	101.1	100.5
season	17.1	16.5		101.5	98.8
opponent	15.6	15.7		97.1	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.7	16.5	17.2	15.4	16.4
HOU	16.8	16.2	16.3	16.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	30	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.09	2	-6	8	14.6	17.4	-2.87	16.9	16.3	0.59
Darius Miles	42	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.02	-4	0	-4	17.3	15.6	1.67	16.5	16.4	0.07
Dan Dickau	21	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-6	8	14.4	17.1	-2.66	17.6	16.1	1.51
Qyntel Woods	11	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	0	-4	16.3	16.5	-0.20	16.9	16.4	0.52
Ruben Patterson	39	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.24	2	-6	8	15.7	17.0	-1.28	16.2	16.7	-0.45
Theo Ratliff	36	35	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.09	-5	1	-6	18.1	15.3	2.88	16.3	16.6	-0.35
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	38	42	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.40	5	-9	14	14.9	17.6	-2.66	16.8	16.2	0.66
Derek Anderson	76	76	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-4	4	16.5	16.3	0.20	16.4	16.9	-0.52
Damon Stoudamire	66	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.23	-8	4	-12	16.9	14.9	2.03	16.1	17.6	-1.51
Zach Randolph	76	78	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	6	-16	17.2	11.5	5.61	16.3	17.5	-1.17

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	80	79	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.32	12	-8	20	16.2	19.5	-3.34	17.0	10.7	6.28
Steve Francis	78	78	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	-1	6	16.3	17.5	-1.17	16.4	16.9	-0.49
Kelvin Cato	59	57	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.24	8	-4	12	16.5	16.3	0.23	17.1	15.3	1.75
Jim Jackson	74	73	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.40	0	4	-4	16.9	14.3	2.59	15.8	19.9	-4.06
Maurice Taylor	47	48	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.34	2	2	0	17.8	14.9	2.88	15.7	17.3	-1.60
Yao Ming	51	52	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	-6	16	15.7	17.5	-1.81	16.5	16.4	0.13
Mark Jackson	18	17	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.00	1	3	-2	15.4	16.7	-1.35	17.8	16.1	1.64
Eric Piatkowski	14	14	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	10	-16	18.1	16.1	1.99	15.3	16.7	-1.39
Clar. Weatherspoon	19	17	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	0.15	-12	16	-28	14.9	16.9	-1.94	16.3	16.5	-0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.86,0.8,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 92, POR 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.37,0.44,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1	93.4%
CHA 85, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.38,0.41,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.95,1	93.3%
HOU 79, DET 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.5,0.52,0.67,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.95,0.98,0.99,1	93.1%