inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 87 Excitement9.4 [88] MVPJeff McInnis (CLE): +20.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers 89 Comeback8.6 [191] LVPDajuan Wagner (CLE): -22.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Manu Ginobili0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.24,0.09-0.000.09-0.001466%0.405-0.304100%0.03
Tony Parker0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.080.010.07-0.001350%0.0800.00475%0.01
Robert Horry0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.000.001100%0.0300.001100%0.00
Devin Brown0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hedo Turkoglu-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.00450%-0.001-0.0300%0.00
Ron Mercer-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00430%-0.0400.00250%-0.01
Rasho Nesterovic-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.00729%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Charlie Ward-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.02-0.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Kevin Willis-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.03-0.040.00333%-0.031-0.0500%0.00
Bruce Bowen-0.130,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.05-0.10-0.01744%-0.052-0.09250%-0.02
Tim Duncan-0.150,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.14,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.160.01-0.012835%-0.102-0.05475%-0.01
Malik Rose-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.21-0.04-0.170.00542%0.011-0.22250%-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jeff McInnis0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.21,0.210.210.020.18-0.011354%0.231-0.022100%0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.110.11-0.070.16-0.011350%0.193-0.08633%-0.05
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.070.070.11-0.040.002364%0.142-0.074100%0.03
Ira Newble0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.02425%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Jason Kapono0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.11,-0.02-0.020.01-0.040.00650%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Kevin Ollie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.010.00325%-0.0500.002100%0.02
Carlos Boozer0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.19,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.15-0.03-0.03542%0.016-0.16250%-0.02
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19-0.19-0.07-0.12-0.00833%-0.121-0.072100%0.01
Dajuan Wagner0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23-0.23-0.15-0.08-0.00828%-0.094-0.14250%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.72.429.314.422.62.336.3130.9
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +5.7%
CLE +5.3%
CLE +13.1%
CLE +18.5%
CLE +7.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASCLENBASASCLENBA
this game15.414.615.790.692.7100.5
season15.915.7100.199.8
opponent15.515.8102.392.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS15.116.915.514.215.4
CLE14.313.715.115.114.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasho Nesterovic35370.14-0.640.780.024-61015.215.6-0.3614.614.50.12
Charlie Ward19200.13-0.630.760.19-20-216.115.30.8512.915.0-2.05
Devin Brown980.13-0.630.76-0.025-71213.015.7-2.6815.414.50.87
Kevin Willis1516-0.03-0.470.440.00-1-1014.915.5-0.5914.114.7-0.61
Bruce Bowen6462-0.04-0.460.42-0.133-5815.714.90.7315.512.92.66
Ron Mercer1718-0.11-0.390.290.01-42-617.515.02.5512.515.1-2.55
Robert Horry1010-0.18-0.320.150.06-86-1419.115.04.1012.214.8-2.65
Tim Duncan8785-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.433-5815.416.1-0.7514.812.91.88
Hedo Turkoglu4042-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.35-31-415.115.7-0.5614.614.60.04
Manu Ginobili6262-0.550.05-0.60-0.40-53-815.215.9-0.7514.115.4-1.30
Malik Rose4544-0.590.09-0.67-0.53-20-215.115.7-0.6414.814.40.45
Tony Parker7776-0.630.13-0.76-0.630-2215.316.1-0.8515.012.92.05

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Williams41410.91-0.411.330.5014-122614.414.7-0.3216.514.71.81
Tony Battie34310.72-0.220.930.488-61414.614.60.0215.815.20.61
Zydrunas Ilgauskas78790.70-0.200.900.555-3814.714.00.7115.415.7-0.34
Jeff McInnis84850.63-0.130.760.485-3814.714.00.6515.713.22.54
LeBron James79800.59-0.090.680.503-1414.813.61.2015.316.2-0.91
Dajuan Wagner51510.58-0.080.670.2910-81814.215.0-0.8015.815.00.85
Jason Kapono1718-0.110.61-0.73-0.1102-213.514.8-1.2716.715.11.53
Kevin Ollie1514-0.240.74-0.97-0.09-57-1212.914.9-1.9412.815.9-3.09
Ira Newble3735-0.290.79-1.080.01-1012-2215.414.01.4015.115.6-0.45
Carlos Boozer5960-0.440.94-1.39-0.03-1416-3014.714.30.4514.616.9-2.29


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.33,0.27,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.27,0.16,0.12,0.28,0.31,0.46,0.45,0.42,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 69, CHI 710.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.73,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.41,0.25,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.41,191.3%
LAC 72, CHI 740.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.3,0.19,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.3,0.37,0.41,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.41,190.7%
DET 87, UTA 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.2,0.28,0.15,0.1,0.23,0.42,190.2%