NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	112		Excitement	6.0 [598]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (PHI): +10.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	101		Comeback	1.3 [509]		LVP	Ray Allen (SEA): -14.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.02	0.02	18	63%	0.11	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Willie Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	7	62%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron McKie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	24	58%	0.14	4	-0.09	21	81%	0.03
Samuel Dalembert	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Zendon Hamilton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	40%	-0.03	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	4	64%	0.05	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	60%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	9	54%	0.01	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	26	51%	-0.03	5	-0.12	9	100%	0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.4	3.6	32.0	18.8	30.0	2.8	39.0	156.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +50.8%

SEA -6.6%

SEA -8.9%

PHI +11.1%

PHI +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SEA	NBA	PHI	SEA	NBA
this game	14.5	14.0	15.7	109.8	101.0	100.5
season	16.2	15.6		96.7	105.0
opponent	15.7	15.8		105.9	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.4	16.2	14.6	15.2	14.5
SEA	13.3	13.7	16.7	12.5	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenny Thomas	86	83	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.02	25	-14	39	14.2	16.6	-2.41	14.5	11.6	2.81
Samuel Dalembert	70	66	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.06	20	-9	29	13.5	16.7	-3.24	15.0	12.1	2.91
Allen Iverson	101	99	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.18	11	0	11	14.4	24.0	-9.56	14.1	5.0	9.07
Glenn Robinson	56	54	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.13	20	-9	29	13.6	15.6	-2.01	14.4	13.5	0.85
Aaron McKie	38	37	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.14	10	1	9	15.6	13.9	1.71	14.1	13.9	0.16
Willie Green	45	42	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.25	0	11	-11	14.2	14.8	-0.51	13.4	14.4	-0.95
Zendon Hamilton	13	13	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.16	0	11	-11	17.8	14.0	3.80	13.2	14.1	-0.86
Eric Snow	40	42	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.03	0	11	-11	14.7	14.4	0.24	14.1	13.9	0.24
Greg Buckner	33	34	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.18	-10	21	-31	15.2	14.2	1.05	13.0	14.5	-1.44
Amal McCaskill	17	19	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.08	-9	20	-29	16.3	14.2	2.12	11.9	14.5	-2.51
John Salmons	11	11	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.11	-12	23	-35	17.5	14.2	3.38	10.3	14.4	-4.17

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	43	45	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.01	-1	-10	9	13.4	14.4	-1.07	16.2	13.2	2.95
Reggie Evans	6	6	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-9	7	15.5	13.9	1.62	10.7	14.8	-4.10
Richie Frahm	9	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-8	5	14.3	13.9	0.39	9.4	15.1	-5.69
Jerome James	48	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.19	3	-14	17	12.5	15.4	-2.89	15.1	14.0	1.04
Vitaly Potapenko	45	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.03	-4	-7	3	15.1	13.0	2.10	14.0	14.9	-0.87
Ansu Sesay	10	11	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	-6	1	15.1	13.9	1.24	14.7	14.5	0.22
Antonio Daniels	48	47	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	-6	1	15.1	12.9	2.20	14.1	14.9	-0.71
Luke Ridnour	40	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-7	3	13.1	14.6	-1.51	13.9	15.0	-1.12
Calvin Booth	40	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	0	-11	15.6	12.9	2.70	14.1	14.8	-0.67
Ronald Murray	59	60	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-7	3	13.3	15.0	-1.69	14.4	14.6	-0.19
Ray Allen	87	89	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	-4	-3	14.0	13.9	0.07	15.1	10.8	4.22
Vladimir Radmanovic	65	64	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	1	-13	13.7	14.6	-0.91	14.7	14.2	0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.29,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, MIN 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.21,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
PHX 110, SEA 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.36,0.26,0.28,0.36,0.22,0.29,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.15,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	93.8%
PHX 102, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.25,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.14,0.18,0.12,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0,0	93.8%