NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	98		Excitement	5.4 [715]		MVP	Anfernee Hardaway (NYK): +9.2%
New Orleans Hornets	106		Comeback	2.4 [722]		LVP	Shandon Anderson (NYK): -16.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	14	68%	0.15	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Sweetney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	64%	0.02	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Frank Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	2	70%	0.01	2	-0.07	6	83%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.04	0.04	12	58%	0.02	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	22	55%	0.03	5	-0.14	9	78%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	11	39%	-0.01	5	-0.16	1	100%	0.01

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Baron Davis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.00	24	56%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
George Lynch	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	5	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
P.J. Brown	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	6	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Steven Smith	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	10	54%	0.04	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.01
Jamal Mashburn	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	17	51%	0.03	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.8	29.2	15.7	27.3	2.3	31.5	129.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +23.7%

NYK -0.5%

NOH +0.1%

NOH +24.9%

NOH +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NOH	NBA	NYK	NOH	NBA
this game	14.2	14.6	15.7	99.0	105.0	100.5
season	15.5	16.0		98.6	99.3
opponent	15.7	15.8		99.4	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.2	13.6	15.5	13.3	14.2
NOH	11.5	17.7	13.9	16.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Doleac	25	29	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.13	6	-14	20	14.0	14.2	-0.23	17.5	13.5	4.01
Anfernee Hardaway	63	67	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.32	9	-17	26	13.3	15.7	-2.48	16.4	11.1	5.37
Michael Sweetney	21	22	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-8	8	14.1	14.2	-0.10	16.5	14.1	2.40
Frank Williams	32	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.05	-3	-5	2	13.8	14.3	-0.53	16.9	13.5	3.40
Dikembe Mutombo	59	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	4	-16	14.7	13.3	1.42	13.3	16.2	-2.92
Shandon Anderson	71	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	2	-12	14.7	12.9	1.83	14.3	15.4	-1.06
Keith Van Horn	68	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	3	-14	14.3	13.9	0.39	13.2	17.3	-4.16
Stephon Marbury	87	89	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	-1	-6	14.2	14.0	0.20	14.1	18.4	-4.30
Othella Harrington	69	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	4	-16	14.1	14.4	-0.33	13.4	17.4	-4.03

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Brown	85	84	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.16	18	-10	28	14.3	16.1	-1.78	14.4	12.7	1.70
Baron Davis	83	82	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.13	18	-10	28	14.5	15.3	-0.80	14.3	13.8	0.49
George Lynch	57	57	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.05	19	-11	30	12.9	16.8	-3.93	14.7	13.5	1.25
Jamal Mashburn	82	82	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.22	13	-5	18	13.9	17.9	-4.03	14.3	13.5	0.78
Jamaal Magloire	76	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.12	14	-6	20	13.9	16.8	-2.89	14.6	12.9	1.70
David West	16	15	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	11	-14	16.4	14.3	2.16	14.3	14.1	0.19
Darrell Armstrong	46	44	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.27	-11	19	-30	15.0	14.3	0.69	13.0	15.1	-2.19
Steven Smith	12	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.03	-5	13	-18	20.4	13.8	6.57	13.6	14.2	-0.60
Stacey Augmon	30	27	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.16	-11	19	-30	17.0	13.6	3.38	14.0	14.2	-0.24
Robert Traylor	18	17	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.08	-12	20	-32	18.1	13.9	4.24	11.9	14.6	-2.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.31,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.55,0.61,0.76,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 107, WAS 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.94,1,1	94.7%
PHX 90, GSW 100	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.9%
NYK 86, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.5,0.42,0.6,0.51,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.88,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%