NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	86		Excitement	6.0 [608]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +17.1%
Atlanta Hawks	77		Comeback	28.2 [21]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (ATL): -32.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.03	0.14	-0.00	11	62%	0.23	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Steve Francis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1	0.06	0.01	-0.02	12	67%	0.12	1	-0.02	12	83%	0.04
Clar. Weatherspoon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.02	2	50%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	8	47%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.02	-0.04	0.02	8	82%	0.08	5	-0.12	6	100%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	10	50%	-0.01	3	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01
Yao Ming	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.16	-0.05	-0.02	11	27%	-0.10	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Dickau	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	4	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	6	57%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dion Glover	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	11	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	18	48%	-0.02	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.26,-0.27	-0.27	-0.18	-0.09	-0.00	11	29%	-0.12	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.09	-0.23	0.00	10	53%	-0.19	4	-0.13	10	50%	-0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	27.6	15.6	26.2	2.7	38.2	137.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +51.2%

HOU +14.8%

ATL -2.0%

ATL -7.6%

ATL -6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	ATL	NBA	HOU	ATL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.4	15.7	93.5	84.6	100.5
season	16.5	15.3		98.8	98.2
opponent	15.5	15.6		103.0	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.8	19.2	18.0	12.2	16.1
ATL	14.9	14.4	14.7	17.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	74	74	0.89	-0.39	1.29	0.28	21	-12	33	15.7	18.0	-2.34	15.8	13.6	2.17
Clar. Weatherspoon	30	30	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.40	16	-7	23	13.1	17.6	-4.43	15.9	15.1	0.82
Steve Francis	83	83	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.18	13	-4	17	15.5	22.1	-6.64	15.3	16.2	-0.98
Jim Jackson	82	81	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.20	10	-1	11	16.0	16.8	-0.76	15.3	15.6	-0.28
Maurice Taylor	64	62	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.40	2	7	-5	16.3	15.6	0.74	15.6	14.7	0.92
Kelvin Cato	33	33	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.12	1	8	-7	17.7	15.2	2.51	15.6	15.2	0.40
Adrian Griffin	12	11	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	0.05	-7	16	-23	20.8	15.4	5.42	14.7	15.4	-0.71
Yao Ming	54	54	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.10	-5	14	-19	17.4	14.3	3.03	15.1	15.8	-0.68
Mark Jackson	28	27	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.11	-6	15	-21	15.9	16.2	-0.38	13.8	16.0	-2.19

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	47	46	0.43	-0.93	1.36	-0.01	15	-24	39	13.9	16.9	-3.06	17.6	14.7	2.93
Dan Dickau	24	25	0.29	-0.79	1.07	0.20	3	-12	15	13.6	16.0	-2.40	16.1	16.1	-0.05
Chris Crawford	18	18	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-9	9	13.2	15.9	-2.65	15.6	16.3	-0.70
Boris Diaw	54	52	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.19	-16	7	-23	15.6	15.0	0.64	15.2	17.2	-2.00
Dion Glover	50	51	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-9	9	14.8	16.0	-1.18	16.0	16.3	-0.27
Stephen Jackson	82	84	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.37	-2	-7	5	15.1	17.7	-2.57	16.6	11.1	5.47
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	74	76	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.35	-6	-3	-3	15.8	13.5	2.24	16.1	16.2	-0.16
Jason Terry	67	68	-0.81	0.31	-1.13	-0.29	-18	9	-27	15.9	13.9	1.95	15.4	18.1	-2.71
Theo Ratliff	39	40	-0.91	0.41	-1.32	-0.29	-21	12	-33	18.4	13.1	5.31	16.2	16.0	0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.43,0.42,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.89,0.91,0.73,0.75,0.37,0.15,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 94, ATL 87	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.79,0.74,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.71,0.61,0.62,0.46,0.32,0.09,0	91.8%
MIN 84, POR 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.61,0.28,0.15,0.01,0	91.1%
MIN 110, PHX 101	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.74,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.47,0.62,0.46,0.24,0.01,0	90.5%