NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	107		Excitement	6.6 [475]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +55.2%
Phoenix Suns	105		Comeback	1.1 [545]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -16.6%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.55	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.55	0.07	0.45	-0.04	14	70%	0.61	3	-0.06	5	100%	0.04
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.2	0.13	0.04	-0.02	13	72%	0.20	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jerome James	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.01	8	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	58%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Ray Allen	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	15	55%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Ansu Sesay	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richie Frahm	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Murray	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	39%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.26	0.26	0.01	0.26	0.01	18	59%	0.36	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.11	0.00	7	67%	0.17	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	-0.02	0.01	14	72%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04	-0.04	0.06	-0.06	0.04	25	53%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	8	31%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.18	-0.01	-0.02	15	19%	-0.15	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	28.4	15.4	24.5	2.5	32.2	127.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +31.8%

SEA +19.9%

PHX -3.8%

PHX -4.5%

SEA +6.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHX	NBA	SEA	PHX	NBA
this game	16.8	14.5	15.7	116.3	114.1	100.5
season	15.6	14.6		105.0	99.6
opponent	15.9	15.7		103.6	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.3	14.7	17.2	20.6	16.8
PHX	12.4	16.6	17.1	12.1	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	68	67	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.37	5	-3	8	17.4	15.4	1.94	14.0	15.8	-1.79
Vladimir Radmanovic	68	68	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.39	1	1	0	17.0	16.3	0.75	14.9	13.1	1.80
Vitaly Potapenko	40	39	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.10	7	-5	12	16.3	17.3	-1.01	14.8	14.2	0.54
Ray Allen	77	75	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.34	-2	4	-6	17.0	15.9	1.17	14.5	14.2	0.27
Ronald Murray	35	37	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	-5	12	15.2	17.8	-2.61	15.6	13.7	1.95
Calvin Booth	34	34	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	0	2	15.8	17.5	-1.72	14.1	14.7	-0.63
Luke Ridnour	45	45	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.29	-5	7	-12	17.6	16.1	1.43	14.4	14.5	-0.07
Jerome James	41	42	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.24	-6	8	-14	18.0	15.9	2.08	14.0	14.8	-0.80
Antonio Daniels	28	29	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.08	-1	3	-4	15.8	17.3	-1.53	11.9	15.6	-3.69
Ansu Sesay	3	3	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	7	-12	15.7	16.9	-1.22	12.0	14.5	-2.54

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahidi White	8	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	5	-12	18.1	14.1	4.02	8.3	17.6	-9.27
Jake Voskuhl	62	62	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.30	4	-6	10	14.3	14.8	-0.51	17.5	15.5	2.05
Shawn Marion	71	70	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.39	7	-9	16	13.5	17.6	-4.10	17.4	15.2	2.13
Leandro Barbosa	69	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.44	5	-7	12	14.1	15.6	-1.48	17.4	15.0	2.39
Casey Jacobsen	64	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.46	4	-6	10	15.1	12.9	2.25	17.5	15.4	2.14
Howard Eisley	48	47	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	8	-18	16.2	12.6	3.62	15.9	17.9	-1.99
Amar'e Stoudemire	52	53	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	5	-12	13.7	15.4	-1.67	16.0	18.1	-2.09
Joe Johnson	86	86	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.38	-6	4	-10	14.3	17.2	-2.90	16.8	17.7	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.38,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 110, LAL 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%
GSW 115, SAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.1,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
DAL 108, MEM 97	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.13,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.0%