NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	110		Excitement	7.9 [251]		MVP	Vlade Divac (SAC): +25.9%
Seattle SuperSonics	103		Comeback	1.2 [468]		LVP	Ray Allen (SEA): -26.4%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vlade Divac	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.14,0.26,0.26	0.01	0.23	-0.01	7	68%	0.29	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.05
Peja Stojakovic	0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.17,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.15	0.08	0.05	-0.02	21	59%	0.16	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.10
Bobby Jackson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	11	46%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brad Miller	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.04	-0.04	0.01	14	68%	0.08	3	-0.08	13	92%	0.07
Tony Massenburg	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	60%	0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.06	4	-0.08	3	33%	-0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.00	0.20	-0.01	12	61%	0.28	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.03	-0.01	15	77%	0.21	2	-0.02	9	100%	0.05
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.19	-0.19	-0.00	-0.17	0.02	8	67%	-0.13	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.26	-0.26	-0.12	-0.16	-0.02	21	38%	-0.24	1	-0.02	10	80%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	29.4	15.7	32.1	1.7	37.2	142.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +17.9%

SAC +31.6%

SEA -4.9%

SAC +0.1%

SAC +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	SEA	NBA	SAC	SEA	NBA
this game	15.2	15.5	15.7	118.3	108.4	100.5
season	14.7	15.6		106.9	105.0
opponent	15.7	15.6		105.9	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	12.7	15.5	16.5	16.4	15.2
SEA	14.4	15.8	14.8	17.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	64	65	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.31	10	-3	13	14.5	16.7	-2.19	15.3	15.8	-0.51
Mike Bibby	77	80	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.31	6	1	5	15.1	15.7	-0.61	15.9	13.2	2.68
Vlade Divac	56	57	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.28	7	0	7	15.4	14.9	0.44	16.7	13.6	3.17
Brad Miller	83	84	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	4	-1	15.6	11.8	3.79	15.7	13.8	1.85
Peja Stojakovic	76	76	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.28	-1	8	-9	15.4	14.1	1.30	15.1	17.0	-1.93
Anthony Peeler	23	25	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.02	6	1	5	14.9	15.3	-0.36	15.6	15.4	0.15
Bobby Jackson	43	43	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.13	9	-2	11	14.9	15.4	-0.56	14.3	16.4	-2.14
Tony Massenburg	9	10	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.00	2	5	-3	12.9	15.4	-2.54	15.1	15.5	-0.39
Darius Songaila	34	35	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	14	-21	16.1	14.7	1.38	14.5	16.0	-1.49

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Calvin Booth	35	35	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.03	-1	-6	5	15.7	15.3	0.41	14.9	15.3	-0.38
Rashard Lewis	72	74	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-10	13	15.9	14.0	1.97	15.4	14.4	0.96
Reggie Evans	26	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.31	5	-12	17	17.9	14.5	3.35	17.8	14.1	3.70
Jerome James	17	18	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.05	-8	1	-9	12.9	16.0	-3.13	14.6	15.3	-0.71
Antonio Daniels	72	71	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.31	4	-11	15	16.1	13.3	2.78	15.4	14.5	0.89
Vladimir Radmanovic	53	50	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-1	-5	14.7	16.4	-1.71	14.7	15.7	-1.00
Luke Ridnour	24	23	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	6	-19	12.8	16.3	-3.50	14.0	15.6	-1.63
Ray Allen	74	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.39	2	-9	11	15.3	15.9	-0.58	15.8	13.1	2.63
Vitaly Potapenko	59	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.39	-1	-6	5	16.3	14.0	2.34	15.2	15.2	0.03
Ronald Murray	43	40	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.07	-20	13	-33	14.3	16.4	-2.19	13.4	16.5	-3.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.16,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.16,0.25,0.14,0.23,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.31,0.45,0.34,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 96, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.17,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.28,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.16,0.26,0.35,0.09,0.14,0.36,0.16,0.26,0	91.9%
IND 100, MIN 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.4,0.43,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.29,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.22,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.42,0	91.8%
NYK 80, ORL 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.47,0	91.6%