NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	99		Excitement	4.5 [899]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (CHI): +6.9%
Denver Nuggets	115		Comeback	1.1 [1088]		LVP	Eddie Robinson (CHI): -12.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.01	-0.05	18	50%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Corie Blount	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.05	4	50%	0.02	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Rick Brunson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Jefferies	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Eddy Curry	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	64%	0.03	3	-0.05	7	43%	-0.05
Marcus Fizer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.09	10	70%	-0.01	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00
Ronald Dupree	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	3	60%	-0.01	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Kirk Hinrich	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	10	42%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	1	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Eddie Robinson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	8	28%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	15	62%	0.09	2	-0.04	9	78%	0.02
Andre Miller	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	10	62%	0.07	3	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Nene	0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	71%	0.06	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	16	52%	0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.00	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mark Pope	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	11	55%	0.02	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.03	9	56%	-0.02	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	31.3	2.4	28.3	15.4	28.6	2.5	28.6	137.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +8.3%

DEN +24.9%

DEN +20.6%

CHI -7.4%

DEN +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	DEN	NBA	CHI	DEN	NBA
this game	14.9	13.3	15.7	98.0	111.7	100.5
season	15.2	14.9		94.6	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.4		101.1	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.4	14.8	14.7	14.8	14.9
DEN	11.4	14.0	13.6	14.6	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Jefferies	11	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-18	20	12.1	15.3	-3.18	16.8	12.9	3.91
Marcus Fizer	43	44	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-18	20	14.7	15.1	-0.35	13.7	13.0	0.69
Corie Blount	36	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-17	18	12.9	16.0	-3.11	14.1	12.9	1.17
Scottie Pippen	19	18	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.08	-7	-9	2	17.9	14.2	3.73	13.3	13.3	0.00
Antonio Davis	50	52	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-14	12	14.5	15.3	-0.75	13.0	13.7	-0.71
Eddie Robinson	52	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-14	12	14.1	15.8	-1.62	12.5	14.1	-1.60
Ronald Dupree	29	32	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	-9	2	14.4	15.1	-0.71	15.4	12.4	3.06
Rick Brunson	46	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-9	2	16.1	13.9	2.22	13.9	12.9	1.01
Jerome Williams	34	33	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.05	-13	-3	-10	15.6	14.6	0.96	13.1	13.4	-0.35
Kirk Hinrich	57	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.00	-13	-3	-10	14.7	15.2	-0.58	13.3	13.3	0.03
Jamal Crawford	63	66	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.10	-17	1	-18	14.8	15.1	-0.25	12.1	15.6	-3.49
Eddy Curry	65	66	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.09	-17	1	-18	16.0	12.9	3.11	12.9	14.1	-1.17

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Boykins	72	70	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.01	16	0	16	12.7	14.9	-2.25	14.4	16.1	-1.70
Nene	58	57	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.12	17	-1	18	13.0	13.8	-0.76	15.6	14.1	1.47
Rodney White	55	54	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.00	12	4	8	12.9	13.8	-0.86	16.0	13.7	2.24
Ryan Bowen	21	20	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.03	9	7	2	14.9	12.9	1.92	14.0	15.1	-1.15
Chris Andersen	41	40	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.01	10	6	4	12.3	14.0	-1.64	15.1	14.8	0.30
Marcus Camby	76	76	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.03	7	9	-2	13.6	12.7	0.85	15.2	14.0	1.22
Carmelo Anthony	82	81	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.00	7	9	-2	12.9	14.9	-1.92	15.1	14.0	1.15
Andre Miller	79	78	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.07	4	12	-8	14.2	10.4	3.85	14.7	15.8	-1.12
Francisco Elson	14	13	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	14	-12	13.4	13.3	0.03	14.4	15.0	-0.62
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	16.8	12.9	3.91	12.1	15.3	-3.18
Mark Pope	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	14.0	13.3	0.71	9.2	15.2	-6.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.73,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 76, PHX 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
TOR 56, MIN 73	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.87,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
ATL 92, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%