NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	95		Excitement	8.7 [129]		MVP	Sam Cassell (MIN): +29.7%
Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Comeback	1.8 [721]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -18.5%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	18	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	5	62%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Jake Voskuhl	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	5	56%	-0.05	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.06
Casey Jacobsen	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	0.01	9	50%	-0.00	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	6	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	8	44%	-0.04	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.16,-0.11,-0.07,-0.13,-0.2,-0.13,-0.18	0.02	-0.16	0.05	27	53%	-0.13	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Cassell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.35,0.26,0.3	0.30	0.08	0.22	0.01	21	64%	0.42	3	-0.13	8	100%	0.06
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	0.00	9	71%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.08	0.10	-0.00	20	41%	0.06	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.04
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	71%	0.06	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	7	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	70%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	4	25%	-0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Oliver Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	7	50%	-0.04	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.0	2.5	27.4	16.7	26.6	2.8	38.0	135.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +67.8%

MIN +6.1%

PHX -15.6%

PHX -5.1%

PHX -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	14.8	15.5	15.7	99.0	105.3	100.5
season	14.6	15.6		99.6	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.9		98.4	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.0	14.3	14.7	15.3	14.8
MIN	15.6	15.7	17.4	13.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	40	38	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.05	11	-15	26	14.2	15.2	-1.03	16.2	15.0	1.24
Jahidi White	35	36	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.11	1	-5	6	14.5	15.0	-0.44	17.1	14.5	2.57
Zarko Cabarkapa	29	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-2	0	14.9	14.8	0.06	16.2	15.2	1.03
Joe Johnson	86	84	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.35	-1	-3	2	14.8	15.4	-0.64	15.5	15.2	0.34
Shawn Marion	87	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.42	-2	-2	0	14.9	14.2	0.66	15.3	17.0	-1.68
Jake Voskuhl	61	58	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.49	-5	1	-6	15.0	14.5	0.44	14.5	17.1	-2.57
Casey Jacobsen	68	67	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.38	-10	6	-16	14.5	15.5	-1.01	15.6	15.3	0.34
Leandro Barbosa	74	72	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.41	-12	8	-20	15.4	12.9	2.54	14.9	17.5	-2.61

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	46	47	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.39	18	-14	32	15.2	15.8	-0.68	16.3	13.4	2.93
Trenton Hassell	77	79	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.37	13	-9	22	15.1	17.4	-2.26	15.0	13.9	1.14
Latrell Sprewell	79	81	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.43	8	-4	12	15.3	16.7	-1.47	14.9	14.5	0.42
Kevin Garnett	83	87	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.30	7	-3	10	15.4	16.5	-1.08	14.8	14.9	-0.07
Sam Cassell	72	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.37	2	2	0	14.9	17.5	-2.61	14.8	15.0	-0.29
Troy Hudson	28	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	4	-4	16.7	15.0	1.68	14.7	14.9	-0.14
Gary Trent	15	14	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.02	-7	11	-18	15.7	15.5	0.20	15.5	14.7	0.79
Fred Hoiberg	30	30	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.05	-11	15	-26	16.1	15.2	0.83	12.7	15.8	-3.09
Oliver Miller	40	39	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.01	-10	14	-24	17.2	14.2	2.96	14.1	15.3	-1.26

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.4,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.59,0.64,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.76,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 75, ORL 77	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.76,0.7,0.65,0.72,0.59,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.46,0.56,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.67,0.77,1	91.4%
MIN 93, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.58,0.67,0.54,0.57,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.5,0.52,0.43,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.71,0.53,0.47,0.64,0.78,0.73,1	91.0%
CLE 102, ORL 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.38,0.28,0.55,0.73,1	90.9%