NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	98		Excitement	6.7 [459]		MVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): +21.2%
Philadelphia 76ers	93		Comeback	1.5 [392]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -22.2%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keith Bogans	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.00	8	72%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.06	0.01	29	53%	0.14	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Rod Strickland	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	3	62%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Gordan Giricek	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.07,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	12	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	10	70%	-0.05
Zaza Pachulia	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyronn Lue	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	39%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	14	50%	0.02	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Drew Gooden	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	5	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.11	0.04	5	120%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Amal McCaskill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.04
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zendon Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	1	37%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	7	45%	-0.01	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.04	21	44%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Allen Iverson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22	-0.22	-0.08	-0.14	0.01	29	50%	-0.03	6	-0.19	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	2.8	24.2	15.7	28.2	2.3	29.6	130.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +39.0%

ORL +1.0%

ORL +3.0%

ORL +9.0%

PHI -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.7	14.7	15.7	104.3	97.9	100.5
season	15.7	16.2		100.9	96.7
opponent	15.8	15.4		99.5	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.3	17.3	15.5	14.3	15.7
PHI	15.0	16.2	16.4	11.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	81	81	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	-2	9	15.3	18.4	-3.06	15.3	11.5	3.80
Juwan Howard	84	85	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.34	6	-1	7	15.6	16.9	-1.29	14.7	15.0	-0.29
Keith Bogans	73	74	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.39	3	2	1	15.7	15.8	-0.02	14.5	15.6	-1.13
Gordan Giricek	54	54	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.29	3	2	1	15.3	16.3	-1.05	13.0	17.1	-4.11
Tyronn Lue	49	50	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	-2	9	16.9	14.5	2.45	16.3	13.0	3.34
Rod Strickland	45	45	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	7	-9	14.5	16.9	-2.45	13.0	16.3	-3.34
Andrew DeClercq	27	28	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	4	-3	17.0	15.2	1.81	16.1	14.2	1.89
Zaza Pachulia	10	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.02	-1	6	-7	16.9	15.6	1.29	15.0	14.7	0.29
Drew Gooden	47	48	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.04	1	4	-3	16.3	15.2	1.02	15.4	14.1	1.33

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	38	37	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.10	5	-10	15	14.5	14.9	-0.35	16.4	15.3	1.13
Derrick Coleman	21	21	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-5	5	16.4	14.3	2.17	16.1	15.6	0.51
Kenny Thomas	21	22	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-5	5	16.4	14.3	2.17	16.0	15.7	0.33
Zendon Hamilton	7	8	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.08	3	-8	11	17.4	14.5	2.91	16.9	15.6	1.24
Amal McCaskill	20	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-4	3	12.9	15.2	-2.33	19.2	14.9	4.23
Aaron McKie	20	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-2	-1	15.3	14.6	0.71	15.3	15.9	-0.60
Kyle Korver	33	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-8	11	12.2	16.1	-3.82	14.1	16.7	-2.60
Eric Snow	75	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.34	1	-6	7	15.0	13.8	1.19	15.7	16.0	-0.39
Greg Buckner	17	15	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.04	-12	7	-19	13.8	14.9	-1.18	17.6	15.4	2.21
Allen Iverson	95	94	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.7	0.0	14.74	15.7	0.0	15.74
Glenn Robinson	70	71	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.36	-6	1	-7	15.8	11.7	4.15	15.5	16.5	-1.03
Samuel Dalembert	58	57	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.28	-10	5	-15	13.8	16.2	-2.33	14.9	17.1	-2.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.32,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.22,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.27,0.31,0.05,0.15,0.03,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 103, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.07,0,0,0	93.0%
MIN 80, SAS 71	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.26,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.27,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.15,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.18,0.25,0.07,0.02,0,0	92.9%
SEA 101, CHI 97	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.5,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.46,0.41,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.13,0.26,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.28,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.28,0.2,0.11,0.03,0,0	92.5%