NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	82		Excitement	7.0 [406]		MVP	Leandro Barbosa (PHX): +23.6%
Chicago Bulls	87		Comeback	1.1 [1033]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -21.3%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24	0.12	0.12	0.01	18	67%	0.26	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jahidi White	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	56%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	16	47%	0.01	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.06
Casey Jacobsen	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19	-0.14	-0.08	-0.03	7	28%	-0.13	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.02
Tom Gugliotta	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.08	-0.01	6	0%	-0.13	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.21	-0.14	-0.06	0.00	19	33%	-0.12	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.13	-0.01	9	60%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.04	0.01	7	76%	0.10	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Corie Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	61%	0.03	1	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Linton Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Rick Brunson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	-0.12	0.05	-0.04	5	42%	0.06	5	-0.08	2	100%	0.05
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	10	36%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	19	45%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	25%	-0.06
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	8	25%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.02	11	23%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.3	24.4	15.8	23.0	1.7	38.0	129.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +15.8%

CHI +4.0%

CHI +18.0%

CHI +8.1%

CHI +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CHI	NBA	PHX	CHI	NBA
this game	14.6	16.0	15.7	88.2	91.6	100.5
season	14.6	15.2		99.6	94.6
opponent	15.4	15.9		101.3	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.3	14.3	16.0	12.9	14.6
CHI	16.7	17.0	15.3	15.3	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Gugliotta	40	38	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.13	8	-13	21	15.2	14.1	1.16	16.4	15.8	0.61
Jahidi White	23	24	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-10	15	15.0	14.5	0.49	16.4	15.9	0.46
Donnell Harvey	31	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-1	-3	14.2	14.8	-0.65	17.3	15.4	1.88
Leandro Barbosa	77	78	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-9	13	13.9	18.1	-4.19	15.9	16.8	-0.89
Joe Johnson	90	93	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.37	-3	-2	-1	14.4	19.3	-4.90	16.0	18.0	-2.01
Casey Jacobsen	52	54	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.31	-9	4	-13	15.4	13.5	1.89	15.1	17.3	-2.22
Jake Voskuhl	70	71	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.30	-10	5	-15	14.5	15.0	-0.49	15.9	16.4	-0.46
Shawn Marion	82	85	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.23	-16	11	-27	14.8	13.4	1.39	16.2	14.6	1.60

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	87	84	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-7	19	16.1	15.4	0.72	14.9	12.1	2.75
Eddie Robinson	42	41	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.36	2	3	-1	15.0	16.9	-1.93	15.1	14.2	0.86
Jerome Williams	59	57	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	-6	17	16.4	15.5	0.86	14.0	15.5	-1.48
Eddy Curry	36	36	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.23	4	1	3	15.7	16.2	-0.45	15.7	13.9	1.75
Antonio Davis	54	52	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.11	7	-2	9	16.6	15.3	1.26	14.1	15.3	-1.21
Rick Brunson	42	41	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.45	-5	10	-15	15.0	16.9	-1.93	14.5	14.7	-0.19
Jamal Crawford	49	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.13	14	-9	23	16.8	15.3	1.49	15.0	14.2	0.82
Corie Blount	36	36	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.27	-6	11	-17	15.5	16.4	-0.86	15.5	14.0	1.48
Kendall Gill	47	47	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	0	5	16.6	15.5	1.07	14.6	14.6	0.01
Linton Johnson	5	5	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.02	-6	11	-17	12.2	16.2	-4.04	12.4	14.7	-2.32
Marcus Fizer	18	17	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.18	-13	18	-31	17.4	15.7	1.67	11.2	15.3	-4.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.52,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.97,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 83, CHI 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.62,0.61,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.72,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.79,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.6%
SAS 91, UTA 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.62,0.59,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.82,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.83,0.85,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.91,1	92.5%
ORL 124, OKC 125	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.69,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.82,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.78,0.75,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.76,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.91,0.91,1	92.5%