NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	87		Excitement	7.4 [318]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (CHI): +24.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	80		Comeback	2.0 [282]		LVP	LeBron James (CLE): -49.3%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.24	0.18	0.06	-0.00	20	71%	0.28	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Rick Brunson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	13	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Eddie Robinson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	8	37%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	0.03	18	52%	0.01	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01
Jerome Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.01	7	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21	-0.07	-0.15	-0.01	11	46%	-0.01	3	-0.20	4	75%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kedrick Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	11	48%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	5	50%	-0.02	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.13	-0.02	12	41%	-0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.04
LeBron James	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.26,-0.28,-0.24,-0.37,-0.37,-0.49	-0.49	-0.21	-0.29	-0.01	24	35%	-0.33	5	-0.16	4	75%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	23.9	14.0	23.2	2.4	28.4	117.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +41.6%

CHI +1.7%

CHI +6.6%

CLE -4.6%

CHI +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	17.3	15.8	15.7	100.0	92.0	100.5
season	15.2	15.7		94.6	99.8
opponent	15.5	15.4		102.3	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	17.5	17.5	17.8	16.3	17.3
CLE	15.9	16.0	14.3	17.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendall Gill	72	71	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-4	15	17.0	18.8	-1.83	16.0	14.9	1.15
Antonio Davis	71	71	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.27	11	-4	15	16.8	19.4	-2.63	16.0	14.9	1.15
Kirk Hinrich	70	70	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.32	9	-2	11	17.1	18.1	-0.96	15.8	15.7	0.14
Jamal Crawford	87	87	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.29	7	0	7	17.3	0.0	17.29	15.8	0.0	15.82
Corie Blount	49	50	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.33	-2	9	-11	18.2	16.1	2.05	16.2	15.2	1.00
Jerome Williams	38	37	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.03	9	-2	11	16.1	18.2	-2.05	15.2	16.2	-1.00
Rick Brunson	17	17	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	-0.03	-2	9	-11	18.1	17.1	0.96	15.7	15.8	-0.14
Marcus Fizer	16	16	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	11	-15	19.4	16.8	2.63	14.9	16.0	-1.15
Eddie Robinson	15	16	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	11	-15	18.8	17.0	1.83	14.9	16.0	-1.15

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	40	39	0.02	-0.52	0.53	0.02	0	-7	7	15.6	16.0	-0.35	16.7	17.7	-0.99
J.R. Bremer	8	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-8	9	14.1	16.0	-1.86	21.4	16.8	4.64
Kedrick Brown	56	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.01	-3	-4	1	14.9	17.4	-2.49	18.1	15.9	2.18
Darius Miles	51	51	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.11	0	-7	7	14.9	17.1	-2.21	18.6	15.4	3.19
Ira Newble	25	25	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	-1	-5	15.8	15.8	-0.02	16.1	17.8	-1.69
Carlos Boozer	58	58	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	-2	-3	16.6	14.2	2.47	16.3	19.2	-2.93
Kevin Ollie	45	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-7	7	16.2	15.4	0.80	18.0	16.5	1.56
Tony Battie	40	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.34	-3	-4	1	15.8	15.8	-0.03	18.0	16.6	1.44
Eric Williams	47	47	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	0	-7	16.0	15.6	0.35	17.5	17.0	0.44
LeBron James	65	64	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.14	-12	5	-17	16.5	13.7	2.80	15.5	22.3	-6.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.36,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.15,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 94, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.19,0.22,0.32,0.36,0.23,0.27,0	91.6%
MIA 76, HOU 73	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.25,0.37,0.22,0.09,0	91.4%
MIA 103, PHX 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.55,0.63,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.34,0.47,0.52,0.68,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.54,0.15,0.02,0	91.3%