NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	92		Excitement	5.7 [674]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +14.9%
New York Knicks	103		Comeback	2.3 [700]		LVP	Stephen Jackson (ATL): -21.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Hansen	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	-0.00	-0.02	5	80%	0.03	1	0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	10	71%	0.12	2	-0.08	8	100%	0.05
Chris Crawford	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.05	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	16	53%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	5	43%	-0.06	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.05	0.02	10	48%	-0.04	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.11	-0.09	0.02	17	43%	-0.12	3	-0.10	8	100%	0.05

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.06	0.05	-0.05	13	62%	0.18	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	0.04	0.08	9	91%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.07	0.00	9	56%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0.03	14	63%	0.06	4	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Frank Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	0.04	9	50%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.03
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.04	-0.03	7	37%	-0.01	3	-0.09	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.5	31.4	16.5	27.4	2.5	31.7	136.8
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +58.3%

ATL -13.3%

ATL -4.1%

NYK +10.2%

ATL -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	NYK	NBA	ATL	NYK	NBA
this game	16.0	15.5	15.7	100.0	113.2	100.5
season	15.3	15.5		98.2	98.6
opponent	15.8	15.5		100.8	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.6	15.5	14.2	17.0	16.0
NYK	15.1	15.2	15.2	16.5	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Hansen	36	34	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.01	-2	-9	7	17.5	15.0	2.47	16.6	14.9	1.68
Nazr Mohammed	45	42	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-9	7	15.9	16.0	-0.11	14.8	16.1	-1.34
Chris Crawford	30	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-7	3	16.4	15.8	0.64	14.2	16.1	-1.96
Jacque Vaughn	60	59	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.13	-6	-5	-1	16.0	15.9	0.05	15.3	15.9	-0.57
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	72	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	-2	-7	15.2	18.6	-3.36	15.1	16.9	-1.76
Jason Terry	78	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.16	-10	-1	-9	15.3	19.6	-4.34	15.4	15.9	-0.47
Theo Ratliff	58	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	2	-15	17.0	14.2	2.84	16.3	14.1	2.23
Stephen Jackson	81	81	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.21	-9	-2	-7	15.7	18.0	-2.31	15.9	12.5	3.38

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kurt Thomas	53	54	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.26	14	-3	17	14.6	16.7	-2.11	15.9	16.1	-0.15
Allan Houston	78	78	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.14	11	0	11	15.2	17.3	-2.10	15.5	18.4	-2.82
Keith Van Horn	60	61	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.02	13	-2	15	15.7	15.2	0.47	16.0	15.9	0.15
Antonio McDyess	71	70	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.13	7	4	3	15.9	14.2	1.67	15.8	16.5	-0.76
Frank Williams	46	47	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.09	7	4	3	14.8	16.2	-1.46	14.9	17.1	-2.28
Shandon Anderson	26	27	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	6	-1	15.4	15.6	-0.17	17.7	15.3	2.41
Charlie Ward	42	42	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.24	-2	13	-15	15.5	15.5	-0.01	15.7	16.2	-0.42
Michael Doleac	19	20	0.09	0.41	-0.33	-0.03	4	7	-3	15.7	15.4	0.29	18.0	15.4	2.60
Howard Eisley	24	24	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	10	-9	16.9	15.0	1.92	17.6	15.4	2.19
Dikembe Mutombo	36	37	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	16	-21	16.4	14.9	1.51	15.5	16.3	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.45,0.52,0.69,0.73,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.96,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 97, CHA 106	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.39,0.25,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.89,0.85,0.89,0.97,0.99,1,0.97,1,1,1	94.1%
BOS 100, MIA 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.5,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.74,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1	93.9%
CHA 86, NOK 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.74,0.65,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.7%