inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 88 Excitement6.5 [490] MVPLamar Odom (MIA): +23.3%
Miami Heat 91 Comeback1.2 [828] LVPPau Gasol (MEM): -25.0%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
James Posey0.150,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.120.030.001086%0.182-0.042100%0.01
Earl Watson0.140,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0,0.140.020.12-0.001455%0.202-0.051100%0.02
Bo Outlaw0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Lorenzen Wright-0.000,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.01-0.01856%0.032-0.032100%0.01
Shane Battier-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.020.01856%0.032-0.0600%0.00
Mike Miller-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.01757%0.054-0.1200%0.00
Bonzi Wells-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.00-0.01822%-0.082-0.042100%0.02
Stromile Swift-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15-0.06-0.10-0.01745%-0.141-0.02875%-0.07
Pau Gasol-0.250,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.25-0.09-0.18-0.021138%-0.222-0.034100%0.01

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lamar Odom0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.230.230.080.16-0.001966%0.303-0.076100%0.04
Samaki Walker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.03-0.02653%0.051-0.02367%-0.00
Brian Grant0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.050.04-0.051142%0.051-0.01475%-0.00
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.01-0.02753%0.042-0.031100%0.00
Loren Woods00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.02-0.01333%-0.012-0.0500%0.00
Rafer Alston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.06-0.021342%-0.042-0.0400%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.04-0.011152%-0.013-0.07540%-0.08
Eddie Jones0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.02-0.021131%-0.091-0.02475%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.02.027.015.622.42.435.3131.7
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +25.2%
MEM -7.2%
MIA +30.0%
MEM -1.0%
MIA +3.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMMIANBAMEMMIANBA
this game14.217.015.794.698.9100.5
season15.316.2102.399.3
opponent15.915.798.8100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM15.013.614.513.514.2
MIA16.315.816.819.217.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lorenzen Wright47480.19-0.690.88-0.1311-142514.214.10.1317.716.31.39
James Posey58580.06-0.560.62-0.3514-173113.714.9-1.1317.416.41.03
Pau Gasol67660.05-0.550.61-0.4517-203713.715.4-1.7717.316.21.18
Mike Miller7473-0.02-0.480.46-0.4314-173113.616.3-2.6617.515.12.39
Earl Watson7574-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.423-6913.815.7-1.8817.116.40.76
Bo Outlaw2626-0.550.05-0.610.03-2017-3715.413.71.7716.217.3-1.18
Shane Battier3534-0.560.06-0.62-0.06-1714-3114.913.71.1316.417.4-1.03
Bonzi Wells3737-0.650.15-0.800.02-2320-4316.012.93.0315.717.9-2.12
Stromile Swift4644-0.690.19-0.88-0.28-1411-2514.114.2-0.1316.317.7-1.39

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rafer Alston62650.57-0.070.650.348-51317.516.01.5314.313.90.37
Lamar Odom87870.490.010.480.374-1517.017.8-0.8514.213.21.05
Samaki Walker37370.480.020.460.0116-132916.317.5-1.1315.713.12.53
Brian Grant62620.340.160.170.40-25-717.316.40.8413.914.7-0.79
Eddie Jones75750.310.190.120.34-14-516.917.3-0.3614.213.90.32
Udonis Haslem24260.310.190.120.059-61516.717.1-0.3914.813.90.97
Dwyane Wade68690.140.36-0.220.34-710-1717.316.21.0713.416.3-2.89
Caron Butler4141-0.060.56-0.620.12-69-1515.917.9-1.9413.814.5-0.71
Loren Woods43-0.080.58-0.660.09-69-1521.516.84.7011.314.2-2.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.77,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.82,0.84,0.73,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.68,0.85,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.89,0.95,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
VAN 93, DEN 980.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.69,0.79,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.87,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.89,0.89,0.94,0.58,193.2%
DAL 105, POR 1080.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.8,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.72,192.1%
SAC 97, LAC 990.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.81,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.94,0.87,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.73,192.0%