NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	114		Excitement	4.4 [925]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +7.4%
Dallas Mavericks	103		Comeback	1.0 [609]		LVP	Michael Finley (DAL): -10.7%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.01	0.01	-0.07	23	55%	0.13	3	-0.05	12	100%	0.04
Slava Medvedenko	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	53%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Gary Payton	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.01	-0.02	13	57%	0.03	2	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Horace Grant	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	8	52%	0.02	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.02
Kareem Rush	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	14	60%	0.00	4	-0.05	14	64%	-0.06
Bryon Russell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.01	0.06	5	60%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	9	36%	-0.07	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.14	-0.00	0.11	18	71%	0.09	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Danny Fortson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	5	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Best	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	12	36%	-0.03	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Eduardo Najera	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	0.05	18	60%	0.02	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	13	44%	-0.08	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Michael Finley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	0.00	0.01	24	37%	-0.09	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	3.4	33.4	19.5	33.4	3.3	31.3	153.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +45.9%

DAL -0.6%

LAL +3.9%

LAL +0.0%

LAL +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DAL	NBA	LAL	DAL	NBA
this game	14.7	12.3	15.7	106.5	97.2	100.5
season	15.4	14.6		102.8	109.2
opponent	15.6	15.6		105.0	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.1	17.4	12.7	15.9	14.7
DAL	15.2	11.4	12.1	10.8	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	85	85	0.71	-0.21	0.91	0.00	24	-13	37	14.1	16.9	-2.72	13.2	9.0	4.15
Gary Payton	91	88	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.07	16	-5	21	14.5	15.9	-1.38	12.6	11.1	1.47
Devean George	56	54	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.13	22	-11	33	13.7	15.7	-2.00	13.5	11.1	2.38
Karl Malone	80	79	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.12	11	0	11	13.1	19.3	-6.15	12.3	12.6	-0.30
Kobe Bryant	85	85	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	1	9	14.2	16.6	-2.38	12.5	11.6	0.89
Bryon Russell	53	54	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.33	-9	20	-29	15.5	13.9	1.68	10.7	14.0	-3.35
Derek Fisher	39	40	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	15	-19	15.9	14.0	1.88	11.6	12.8	-1.17
Luke Walton	6	7	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	9	-7	19.0	14.4	4.55	14.3	12.2	2.09
Kareem Rush	7	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.02	-1	12	-13	23.3	14.1	9.19	10.0	12.5	-2.47
Horace Grant	6	5	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	14	-17	22.2	14.3	7.91	10.0	12.4	-2.45
Slava Medvedenko	27	27	-0.18	0.69	-0.87	0.20	-13	24	-37	17.0	13.9	3.12	11.1	12.8	-1.69

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Best	16	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.04	1	-12	13	11.7	12.4	-0.76	16.1	14.5	1.67
Josh Howard	66	66	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.50	16	-27	43	12.2	12.5	-0.31	15.6	13.2	2.36
Marquis Daniels	10	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.00	-3	-8	5	8.7	12.7	-4.01	16.4	14.5	1.87
Eduardo Najera	34	32	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-6	1	12.2	12.4	-0.23	15.8	14.2	1.63
Shawn Bradley	14	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.09	-7	-4	-3	12.4	12.3	0.03	12.1	15.2	-3.10
Danny Fortson	9	9	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.14	-10	-1	-9	15.3	12.1	3.28	11.3	15.0	-3.68
Antawn Jamison	87	87	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-13	15	11.9	14.5	-2.61	15.3	12.0	3.26
Tony Delk	21	23	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	4	-19	14.0	11.9	2.14	11.8	15.5	-3.72
Steve Nash	84	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	-3	-5	12.2	12.7	-0.44	14.5	15.3	-0.77
Michael Finley	96	97	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.18	-9	-2	-7	12.4	11.4	1.03	14.4	17.3	-2.87
Antoine Walker	93	95	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.11	-17	6	-23	12.7	9.6	3.09	14.6	15.5	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.27,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.19,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 109, CHI 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.22,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.26,0.29,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.7%
DAL 108, MEM 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.24,0.19,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
PHI 83, BOS 67	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.24,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.16,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%