NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	79		Excitement	10.3 [44]		MVP	Charlie Ward (NYK): +6.1%
New York Knicks	78		Comeback	7.8 [79]		LVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): -67.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corliss Williamson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.01	9	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.03
Mehmet Okur	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	78%	0.14	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.06
Tremaine Fowlkes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0.02,-0.21,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	21	49%	0.03	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.01
Bob Sura	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	6	43%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	9	32%	-0.07	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Ben Wallace	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	5	37%	-0.17	2	-0.05	6	33%	-0.11
Richard Hamilton	-0.68	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.28,-0.2,-0.27,-0.35,-0.44,-0.58,-0.58,-0.68,-0.68,-0.68	-0.28	-0.41	-0.01	13	25%	-0.37	8	-0.31	2	50%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.09	-0.02	11	50%	0.12	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Frank Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	70%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	15	53%	0.12	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	8	39%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.02	-0.03	5	14%	-0.11	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Allan Houston	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.02,-0.17,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.17,-0.3,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	19	53%	0.17	6	-0.30	0	0%	0.00
Michael Doleac	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.22	-0.22	-0.01	-0.21	0.00	3	33%	-0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.24	-0.24	-0.08	-0.16	-0.00	7	29%	-0.17	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.13	-0.16	-0.01	12	19%	-0.28	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	497.8	2.4	26.6	17.7	24.2	2.5	31.6	3.3	14.4	620.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -7.5%

DET +45.6%

DET +2.8%

NYK -3.0%

DET +12.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NYK	NBA	DET	NYK	NBA
this game	15.8	16.0	15.7	79.0	78.0	100.5
season	16.2	15.5		99.2	98.6
opponent	15.8	16.0		100.8	92.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	14.9	17.2	13.9	14.7	23.0	15.8
NYK	14.5	16.3	16.1	18.0	14.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	51	51	0.82	-0.32	1.13	0.44	13	-12	25	16.5	15.0	1.59	16.6	15.4	1.22
Chauncey Billups	73	73	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.48	7	-6	13	16.1	14.8	1.36	16.7	14.2	2.53
Ben Wallace	96	96	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.51	-2	3	-5	15.6	19.7	-4.15	15.9	18.2	-2.31
Tremaine Fowlkes	11	11	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	0	1	17.2	15.6	1.59	13.8	16.3	-2.49
Richard Hamilton	85	83	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.28	-1	2	-3	15.8	15.6	0.20	16.5	13.6	2.87
Corliss Williamson	28	28	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.13	7	-6	13	16.2	15.6	0.57	17.4	15.5	1.84
Hubert Davis	19	20	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.11	6	-5	11	16.4	15.6	0.80	16.1	16.0	0.15
Tayshaun Prince	64	65	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.11	-10	11	-21	14.5	17.9	-3.40	15.3	17.3	-1.98
Bob Sura	27	27	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.01	-6	7	-13	14.8	16.1	-1.36	14.2	16.7	-2.53
Elden Campbell	38	38	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.08	-11	12	-23	14.6	16.5	-1.92	15.5	16.4	-0.85

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	24	25	0.24	-0.74	0.97	-0.11	12	-13	25	15.6	16.2	-0.53	14.9	16.1	-1.19
Antonio McDyess	25	23	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.14	-2	1	-3	15.6	16.2	-0.63	15.1	16.0	-0.89
Frank Williams	19	20	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.07	0	-1	1	16.1	16.0	0.09	15.8	15.8	0.04
Keith Van Horn	45	47	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.10	4	-5	9	16.6	15.5	1.08	15.9	15.6	0.31
Clar. Weatherspoon	3	4	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	1	-3	15.3	16.1	-0.72	23.2	15.5	7.79
Dikembe Mutombo	75	74	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.30	6	-7	13	16.1	15.8	0.31	15.4	16.8	-1.35
Michael Doleac	18	19	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.20	-5	4	-9	17.0	15.8	1.18	15.3	15.9	-0.56
Allan Houston	91	92	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.57	1	-2	3	15.9	17.3	-1.43	15.7	16.0	-0.25
Kurt Thomas	79	80	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.61	1	-2	3	15.9	16.5	-0.56	16.0	14.7	1.28
Charlie Ward	74	72	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.31	-11	10	-21	16.1	15.8	0.25	16.2	14.6	1.62
Shandon Anderson	47	44	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.39	-9	8	-17	15.8	16.2	-0.46	15.4	16.1	-0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.76,0.77,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.75,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 116, HOU 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.7,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.63,0.82,0.83,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.75,0.84,0.68,0.73,0	88.4%
UTA 121, DAL 119	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.69,0.54,0.33,0.45,0.36,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.53,0.36,0.22,0.42,0	87.5%
NOH 97, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.85,0.46,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.28,0	86.9%