NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	97		Excitement	9.9 [68]		MVP	Stacey Augmon (NOH): +21.1%
New York Knicks	91		Comeback	20.4 [75]		LVP	Jamal Mashburn (NOH): -42.4%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stacey Augmon	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.21	0.06	0.15	0.00	6	73%	0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
P.J. Brown	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.13	0.00	0.12	-0.01	13	53%	0.15	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Baron Davis	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.09,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.08,-0.18,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11	-0.08	0.18	-0.01	23	50%	0.25	6	-0.15	2	50%	-0.05
David Wesley	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	12	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	5	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Courtney Alexander	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	9	43%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jamaal Magloire	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	7	40%	-0.09	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jamal Mashburn	-0.42	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.28,-0.32,-0.38,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42	-0.14	-0.29	-0.00	17	37%	-0.25	2	-0.17	7	71%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lee Nailon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.03	0.16	-0.02	12	58%	0.25	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.04
Othella Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	71%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Frank Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	8	47%	-0.05	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.03
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.14,0.11,0.11,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	30	43%	-0.02	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	-0.00	18	39%	-0.10	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.31,-0.31,-0.4	-0.40	-0.12	-0.29	-0.00	15	40%	-0.05	3	-0.35	5	80%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.0	2.4	30.4	16.8	25.8	2.8	36.5	2.6	15.2	156.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +29.7%

NYK -12.2%

NOH +1.2%

NOH +28.3%

NOH +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	NYK	NBA	NOH	NYK	NBA
this game	17.2	15.9	15.5	101.0	94.8	101.6
season	15.9	15.6		101.6	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.6		104.0	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOH	15.1	17.9	19.1	18.1	15.3	17.2
NYK	15.5	14.2	16.1	17.9	16.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stacey Augmon	34	33	1.13	-0.63	1.77	0.72	14	-8	22	16.2	17.8	-1.54	16.5	15.6	0.99
P.J. Brown	76	76	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.42	8	-2	10	16.2	20.9	-4.70	15.1	18.9	-3.79
Baron Davis	89	90	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-2	10	17.7	11.9	5.79	15.9	15.5	0.42
Jamal Mashburn	88	88	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.34	7	-1	8	17.0	19.4	-2.34	16.0	14.5	1.52
Courtney Alexander	48	47	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.08	5	1	4	18.6	15.9	2.71	15.9	15.9	-0.09
David Wesley	67	68	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.01	1	5	-4	16.7	18.5	-1.85	15.6	16.5	-0.85
George Lynch	18	19	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.01	-5	11	-16	19.6	16.7	2.86	14.4	16.3	-1.84
Robert Traylor	22	21	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.02	-6	12	-18	16.8	17.4	-0.53	17.6	15.4	2.21
Jamaal Magloire	38	38	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.13	-2	8	-10	17.9	16.8	1.19	16.8	15.3	1.57

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	25	24	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.02	4	-10	14	15.1	16.2	-1.05	18.6	16.8	1.81
Frank Williams	6	6	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-7	8	13.0	16.1	-3.09	17.0	17.2	-0.24
Travis Knight	9	10	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-2	-2	12.8	16.2	-3.44	16.5	17.3	-0.81
Howard Eisley	74	74	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-4	2	16.5	14.0	2.46	17.6	16.1	1.42
Clar. Weatherspoon	53	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.07	-2	-4	2	16.3	15.4	0.86	17.0	17.6	-0.61
Shandon Anderson	91	91	-0.34	-0.15	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-4	2	15.7	19.2	-3.49	17.2	18.0	-0.81
Kurt Thomas	84	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.38	1	-7	8	16.0	15.2	0.83	17.1	17.9	-0.82
Lee Nailon	44	44	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	2	-10	16.4	15.5	0.91	17.5	17.0	0.46
Allan Houston	85	85	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.34	-12	6	-18	15.7	17.3	-1.56	17.1	18.3	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.45,0.55,0.43,0.85,0.46,0.68,0.79,0.68,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, ATL 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.67,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.85,0.92,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.08,0	88.9%
WAS 130, SAC 122	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.81,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.84,0.67,0.54,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.46,0.25,0.09,0	88.0%
MIN 116, HOU 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.7,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.73,0.8,0.72,0.78,0.63,0.82,0.83,0.72,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.46,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.75,0.84,0.68,0.73,0	87.8%