NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	96		Excitement	6.9 [420]		MVP	Stromile Swift (MEM): +13.2%
Boston Celtics	89		Comeback	2.4 [255]		LVP	Earl Watson (MEM): -14.0%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.00	7	75%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shane Battier	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.07	0.01	11	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Wesley Person	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	6	42%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	17	50%	0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Posey	-0.05	0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	12	46%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	0.02	12	52%	-0.03	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Mike Miller	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	8	37%	-0.07	2	-0.04	11	73%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.04	10	37%	-0.04	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.06

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	5	69%	0.09	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.00	10	45%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	9	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	9	35%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	18	60%	0.05	5	-0.12	7	86%	0.02
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	0.06	5	50%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	8	41%	-0.06	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	10	18%	-0.14	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	481.8	1.8	26.2	15.7	27.2	3.4	27.6	583.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +28.9%

MEM +7.6%

MEM +8.4%

MEM +2.2%

MEM +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	BOS	NBA	MEM	BOS	NBA
this game	16.2	14.1	15.7	101.1	93.7	100.5
season	15.3	14.4		102.3	99.5
opponent	15.9	15.7		102.1	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.9	15.0	16.5	18.5	16.2
BOS	13.9	15.0	15.5	12.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	56	55	0.80	-0.30	1.11	0.25	19	-12	31	16.5	15.7	0.78	14.1	14.1	0.02
Earl Watson	82	82	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.33	8	-1	9	16.4	14.6	1.81	14.1	14.6	-0.55
Stromile Swift	31	32	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.02	17	-10	27	15.9	16.3	-0.41	15.6	13.4	2.24
Pau Gasol	65	67	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	5	-3	15.4	17.8	-2.37	13.8	14.9	-1.02
Mike Miller	77	78	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.28	1	6	-5	15.2	20.3	-5.13	14.0	14.8	-0.84
Bo Outlaw	30	28	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.00	5	2	3	17.8	15.4	2.37	14.9	13.8	1.02
Wesley Person	31	30	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	2	3	17.9	15.3	2.61	14.7	13.9	0.87
Lorenzen Wright	63	62	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.27	-10	17	-27	16.4	15.7	0.65	13.5	15.4	-1.93
James Posey	40	41	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.05	-12	19	-31	15.6	16.6	-1.00	14.0	14.3	-0.28

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vin Baker	68	69	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.18	9	-16	25	13.4	16.1	-2.76	16.3	15.9	0.41
Mike James	61	63	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.23	8	-15	23	13.3	15.6	-2.26	16.4	15.8	0.60
Eric Williams	51	51	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.20	7	-14	21	13.8	14.5	-0.72	15.6	16.9	-1.28
Mark Blount	17	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-7	7	14.5	14.1	0.48	16.0	16.2	-0.22
Walter McCarty	21	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.09	-5	-2	-3	12.5	14.6	-2.13	15.0	16.5	-1.51
Tony Battie	42	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.13	-5	-2	-3	15.4	13.2	2.23	17.2	15.4	1.85
Paul Pierce	71	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-5	3	14.3	13.8	0.46	16.8	14.3	2.42
Marcus Banks	34	32	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	8	-23	15.6	13.3	2.26	15.8	16.4	-0.60
Jiri Welsch	60	60	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	7	-21	14.0	14.4	-0.37	16.2	16.1	0.10
Raef LaFrentz	50	49	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.11	-18	11	-29	15.1	13.1	1.95	15.4	17.0	-1.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.27,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.33,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.03,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 105, DEN 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.29,0.5,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.3,0.19,0.22,0.04,0.06,0,0,0	92.9%
UTA 120, MIN 103	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.29,0.46,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.27,0.13,0.2,0.27,0.07,0.01,0,0,0	92.5%
DET 91, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.04,0,0	92.2%