NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	88		Excitement	6.5 [512]		MVP	Luke Ridnour (SEA): +22.7%
Seattle SuperSonics	95		Comeback	3.5 [631]		LVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): -17.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Francis	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	17	58%	0.08	2	-0.05	14	79%	0.03
Yao Ming	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	14	51%	0.06	1	-0.04	9	56%	-0.03
Scott Padgett	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Cuttino Mobley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	9	43%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kelvin Cato	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	4	20%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	14	40%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Maurice Taylor	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	10	46%	-0.11	1	-0.04	8	37%	-0.09

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23	0.23	0.09	0.13	-0.01	7	79%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.01	0.00	18	64%	0.13	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	83%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	5	62%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.03	0.01	8	54%	0.02	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	12	41%	-0.02	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	2	0%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	15	30%	-0.07	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	1.7	35.2	15.7	28.2	2.6	41.2	151.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +43.6%

SEA +6.3%

HOU -0.3%

HOU -2.3%

SEA +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SEA	NBA	HOU	SEA	NBA
this game	16.6	16.3	15.7	101.1	108.0	100.5
season	16.5	15.6		98.8	105.0
opponent	15.7	15.6		105.9	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.9	16.5	18.0	17.4	16.6
SEA	15.1	17.0	16.3	16.9	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelvin Cato	26	26	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.06	3	-10	13	18.8	15.7	3.05	16.3	16.3	-0.02
Scott Padgett	15	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-9	11	13.6	17.3	-3.66	16.9	16.2	0.78
Eric Piatkowski	27	27	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.13	-2	-5	3	17.2	16.4	0.86	15.1	16.8	-1.75
Steve Francis	79	79	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.23	1	-8	9	16.2	21.1	-4.95	16.3	16.0	0.32
Moochie Norris	16	16	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	2	-11	17.9	16.3	1.60	16.1	16.3	-0.27
Jim Jackson	73	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-5	3	16.0	20.1	-4.18	15.9	18.1	-2.13
Cuttino Mobley	71	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	3	-13	17.1	14.6	2.46	16.9	13.5	3.40
Yao Ming	81	82	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	0	-7	16.1	23.3	-7.20	16.3	15.7	0.66
Maurice Taylor	47	48	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.31	-11	4	-15	17.6	15.5	2.14	16.4	16.2	0.15

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ronald Murray	40	40	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-2	11	16.4	16.1	0.30	17.6	15.8	1.84
Vladimir Radmanovic	70	69	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.33	6	1	5	16.5	15.6	0.85	16.6	16.9	-0.39
Jerome James	24	25	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.12	12	-5	17	16.8	16.1	0.76	19.2	15.6	3.60
Luke Ridnour	33	31	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	0	7	15.8	16.6	-0.84	18.3	15.7	2.53
Rashard Lewis	75	74	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.15	5	2	3	16.1	17.1	-0.93	15.9	21.0	-5.14
Richie Frahm	13	13	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	5	-3	17.1	16.1	0.93	21.0	15.9	5.14
Antonio Daniels	51	50	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	5	-3	16.3	16.3	-0.02	15.8	17.8	-1.96
Calvin Booth	18	18	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	7	-7	15.0	16.6	-1.61	17.8	16.3	1.51
Ansu Sesay	3	2	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	4	-1	3.0	16.8	-13.75	9.0	16.8	-7.81
Reggie Evans	14	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	9	-11	17.7	16.0	1.70	18.6	16.2	2.38
Vitaly Potapenko	46	44	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	12	-17	16.5	16.0	0.45	14.7	18.6	-3.95
Brent Barry	53	54	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.05	-4	11	-15	16.6	15.7	0.90	15.6	18.4	-2.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.81,0.74,0.8,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 89, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.41,0.52,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.1%
DET 75, SAS 84	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.71,0.88,0.83,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%
WAS 85, ORL 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.33,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.42,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.1%