NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	74		Excitement	1.9 [1256]		MVP	Bobby Jackson (SAC): +5.0%
Sacramento Kings	103		Comeback	1.1 [1102]		LVP	Maurice Taylor (HOU): -7.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Padgett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Ford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	50%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	56%	-0.02	2	0.00	8	87%	-0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	0.00	0.09	11	68%	-0.01	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Steve Francis	-0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	16	47%	-0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	0.00	0.02	5	40%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	0.00	0.02	11	58%	0.01	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Jim Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	7	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.12	0.00	0.07	12	72%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	10	75%	0.08	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.16	0.00	0.12	18	69%	0.04	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	5	70%	0.02	3	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	6	50%	0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	12	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Doug Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.13	0.00	-0.08	6	21%	-0.03	3	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Vlade Divac	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.00	-0.03	7	43%	-0.01	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	270.3	2.5	29.4	15.0	26.2	3.5	29.6	376.5
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +28.2%

SAC +4.8%

SAC +4.5%

SAC +9.6%

SAC +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAC	NBA	HOU	SAC	NBA
this game	17.0	14.1	15.7	79.6	112.0	100.5
season	16.5	14.7		98.8	106.9
opponent	15.6	15.6		102.0	97.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.2	17.3	17.2	17.6	17.0
SAC	10.8	16.2	14.1	15.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	13	14	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-30	31	14.7	17.4	-2.72	15.4	13.8	1.58
Alton Ford	35	37	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.13	-6	-23	17	17.4	16.8	0.59	15.3	13.3	1.98
Bostjan Nachbar	36	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.27	-12	-17	5	16.4	17.4	-1.05	15.7	13.0	2.69
Moochie Norris	28	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.26	-14	-15	1	18.9	16.2	2.71	16.5	13.0	3.52
Eric Piatkowski	30	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.33	-18	-11	-7	19.0	16.1	2.86	16.2	13.0	3.18
Jim Jackson	53	52	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-23	17	16.9	17.2	-0.38	12.9	15.6	-2.68
Maurice Taylor	40	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.21	-17	-12	-5	19.1	15.5	3.58	14.9	13.5	1.47
Kelvin Cato	51	50	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.19	-17	-12	-5	15.9	18.4	-2.55	12.9	15.5	-2.69
Steve Francis	65	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	-14	-1	16.2	18.9	-2.71	13.0	16.5	-3.52
Yao Ming	47	45	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.20	-19	-10	-9	16.9	17.2	-0.24	13.3	14.8	-1.48
Cuttino Mobley	67	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.16	-22	-7	-15	16.6	18.0	-1.40	13.1	16.5	-3.36

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	73	74	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.38	30	-1	31	13.8	15.4	-1.61	17.5	15.2	2.29
Doug Christie	60	61	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.50	31	-2	33	12.5	17.0	-4.42	18.1	15.0	3.10
Peja Stojakovic	64	65	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.04	12	17	-5	13.8	14.7	-0.95	16.3	18.8	-2.51
Vlade Divac	53	54	0.30	0.20	0.11	-0.13	15	14	1	13.0	15.5	-2.48	16.1	18.3	-2.20
Mike Bibby	57	58	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.08	13	16	-3	12.9	15.9	-3.00	16.3	18.3	-2.06
Anthony Peeler	43	43	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.37	22	7	15	16.0	12.4	3.68	17.4	16.7	0.76
Bobby Jackson	43	43	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.21	14	15	-1	15.3	13.0	2.37	18.0	16.2	1.84
Tony Massenburg	23	24	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.04	5	24	-19	15.2	13.7	1.45	17.7	16.8	0.97
Darius Songaila	21	20	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.20	7	22	-15	15.8	13.6	2.23	17.7	16.8	0.85
Jabari Smith	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	28	-27	15.4	13.8	1.58	15.9	17.2	-1.30
Rodney Buford	9	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	34	-39	18.2	13.6	4.58	13.6	17.4	-3.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.72,0.79,0.83,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 82, MIN 113	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	98.0%
VAN 81, POR 115	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.75,0.72,0.81,0.77,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%
MIL 105, DEN 125	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.7%