NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	88		Excitement	7.4 [329]		MVP	Richard Hamilton (DET): +29.0%
Detroit Pistons	92		Comeback	5.3 [334]		LVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): -39.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mihm	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	78%	0.16	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	10	61%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	11	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jason Kapono	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	7	25%	-0.16	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Kevin Ollie	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	4	42%	-0.03	2	-0.17	4	75%	0.02
Ricky Davis	-0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.22	-0.03	-0.14	0.05	20	57%	-0.02	5	-0.20	4	100%	0.03
LeBron James	-0.24	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.14	-0.11	-0.01	8	32%	-0.14	4	-0.10	3	67%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.25,0.29	0.29	0.18	0.10	-0.01	23	72%	0.33	2	-0.04	15	87%	0.09
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	0.00	10	55%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Elden Campbell	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	57%	0.00	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tremaine Fowlkes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	8	39%	-0.05	2	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.06	0.02	8	30%	-0.14	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.35,-0.39,-0.39	-0.39	-0.19	-0.22	-0.01	16	25%	-0.31	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	513.3	3.6	31.2	17.7	27.3	3.3	40.4	636.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -3.4%

DET +12.9%

DET +4.8%

DET +35.6%

DET +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	15.5	15.0	15.7	94.6	95.8	100.5
season	15.7	16.2		99.8	99.2
opponent	16.0	15.5		92.6	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.7	15.2	15.0	15.9	15.5
DET	13.7	15.5	16.9	14.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miles	20	20	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.01	5	-9	14	17.0	15.0	2.02	16.9	14.5	2.44
Ira Newble	54	57	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.41	9	-13	22	15.3	15.7	-0.44	14.9	15.2	-0.31
Kevin Ollie	40	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.29	5	-9	14	16.4	14.8	1.60	16.7	13.8	2.84
Jason Kapono	20	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	1	-6	13.0	16.1	-3.14	12.1	15.8	-3.74
Michael Stewart	36	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	1	-6	14.3	16.2	-1.84	14.8	15.2	-0.34
DeSagana Diop	48	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.40	6	-10	16	16.4	14.5	1.84	16.9	13.0	3.88
Chris Mihm	57	58	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.36	1	-5	6	16.2	14.3	1.84	15.2	14.8	0.34
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	41	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	10	-24	15.4	15.5	-0.09	14.1	15.7	-1.56
LeBron James	72	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.10	-10	6	-16	15.3	16.1	-0.88	14.3	17.5	-3.28
Ricky Davis	77	80	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.37	-12	8	-20	15.0	17.7	-2.69	14.6	17.3	-2.75

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Wallace	82	79	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.31	17	-13	30	14.8	16.4	-1.56	15.5	15.3	0.21
Tayshaun Prince	73	73	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.34	15	-11	26	14.8	15.8	-1.06	15.0	17.0	-1.96
Richard Hamilton	79	77	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.43	8	-4	12	14.4	17.8	-3.41	15.2	16.6	-1.40
Chauncey Billups	85	83	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.37	10	-6	16	15.2	13.8	1.36	15.2	17.7	-2.51
Mehmet Okur	45	44	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.50	-5	9	-14	15.8	14.3	1.55	16.7	14.4	2.27
Elden Campbell	34	33	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	-9	22	14.5	15.3	-0.76	13.9	16.3	-2.45
Tremaine Fowlkes	28	25	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.05	-9	13	-22	15.7	14.7	0.98	16.1	15.2	0.84
Bob Sura	27	24	-0.38	0.88	-1.27	0.03	-14	18	-32	14.2	15.3	-1.16	16.5	15.1	1.40
Corliss Williamson	27	27	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	0.00	-15	19	-34	17.0	14.2	2.81	16.5	15.0	1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.62,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.58,0.58,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.22,0.38,0.37,0.77,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 88, SAS 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.29,0.17,0.24,0.37,0.76,0.95,1	91.9%
LAL 96, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.72,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.34,0.17,0.31,0.64,0.77,0.9,1	91.5%
MIL 90, ORL 94	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.72,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.71,0.71,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.67,0.95,1	91.0%