NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	94		Excitement	7.1 [390]		MVP	Bryon Russell (LAL): +17.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	2.4 [678]		LVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): -19.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Robinson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.21,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.06	0.01	21	49%	0.08	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Lonny Baxter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	62%	0.05	1	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Corie Blount	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	55%	0.02	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Kendall Gill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	10	32%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Eddy Curry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	9	55%	-0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Jalen Rose	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.06	-0.00	11	23%	-0.11	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	0.00	2	120%	0.18	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.10	0.02	19	57%	0.13	3	-0.07	11	73%	-0.01
Horace Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.03	0.03	11	62%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Luke Walton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	16	41%	-0.00	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Kareem Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	11	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	28%	-0.10	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.06	-0.01	14	29%	-0.09	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	588.8	2.5	33.7	-703.3	23.4	2.5	32.3	-20.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +1.6%

LAL +30.7%

LAL +7.8%

LAL +12.6%

CHI -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAL	NBA	CHI	LAL	NBA
this game	15.4	14.1	15.7	94.9	105.2	100.5
season	15.2	15.4		94.6	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.4		99.0	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.7	13.0	17.1	14.9	15.4
LAL	10.8	16.4	14.9	14.5	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonny Baxter	1	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-8	9	16.0	15.4	0.58	13.0	14.1	-1.12
Kendall Gill	52	50	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	-5	3	17.1	13.6	3.44	13.0	15.3	-2.24
Corie Blount	47	47	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.18	2	-9	11	15.6	15.3	0.25	15.3	12.9	2.44
Kirk Hinrich	33	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.08	-3	-4	1	13.8	16.2	-2.41	15.5	13.4	2.16
Donyell Marshall	59	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.45	8	-15	23	13.8	17.8	-4.03	15.1	12.6	2.53
Tyson Chandler	40	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.15	-14	7	-21	17.8	13.8	4.03	12.5	15.1	-2.64
Jalen Rose	49	47	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.05	-11	4	-15	16.1	14.8	1.26	12.6	15.5	-2.85
Jamal Crawford	61	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.46	5	-12	17	14.1	17.5	-3.41	15.1	12.4	2.68
Eddie Robinson	36	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-4	1	14.4	16.0	-1.58	15.7	13.1	2.52
Eddy Curry	51	48	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.04	-11	4	-15	15.3	15.6	-0.27	13.0	15.2	-2.27
Scottie Pippen	66	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	0	-7	16.2	13.8	2.41	13.4	15.3	-1.89

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	75	78	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.19	16	-9	25	12.9	18.4	-5.55	16.0	13.3	2.65
Gary Payton	80	83	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.18	15	-8	23	13.7	15.9	-2.21	15.7	13.8	1.92
Karl Malone	79	81	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.23	8	-1	9	13.7	15.9	-2.24	16.1	12.5	3.57
Bryon Russell	22	23	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.30	3	4	-1	17.6	13.1	4.54	15.0	15.6	-0.55
Horace Grant	53	52	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.40	-3	10	-13	16.0	11.7	4.26	14.8	16.1	-1.30
Derek Fisher	37	39	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	9	-11	15.4	13.3	2.09	13.9	16.4	-2.56
Devean George	67	69	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	6	-5	13.2	16.2	-3.08	15.6	15.0	0.61
Luke Walton	0	1	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.01	1	6	-5	0.0	14.1	-14.09	1.0	15.6	-14.57
Shaquille O'Neal	51	55	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.08	3	4	-1	12.7	15.7	-3.00	15.5	15.3	0.19
Kareem Rush	16	14	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.09	-7	14	-21	17.9	13.3	4.54	13.8	15.7	-1.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.53,0.79,0.65,0.83,0.93,0.92,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 76, MIA 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.63,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.23,0.34,0.38,0.53,0.74,0.65,0.78,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.91,1	93.8%
TOR 99, GSW 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.45,0.52,0.4,0.52,0.34,0.34,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.74,0.81,0.91,1,1,1,1,1	93.0%
NOH 82, GSW 90	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.51,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.42,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.99,1	92.7%