NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	82		Excitement	4.1 [994]		MVP	Zarko Cabarkapa (PHX): +4.8%
Phoenix Suns	95		Comeback	1.0 [1210]		LVP	Jalen Rose (CHI): -16.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyson Chandler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	6	67%	-0.02
Eddie Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kendall Gill	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	16	66%	0.06	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	10	45%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Fizer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	10	43%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.01	0.03	8	39%	-0.08	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.21	-0.00	-0.04	16	22%	-0.08	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	9	78%	0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.08	14	38%	0.03	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	11	64%	0.04	3	-0.02	11	64%	-0.03
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	17	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Scott Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.02	11	36%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.02	2	80%	0.01	3	-0.05	11	73%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	12	38%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.5	28.7	0.7	29.0	1.8	28.2	113.6
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +26.5%

PHX +4.0%

PHX +4.4%

PHX +15.6%

CHI -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHX	NBA	CHI	PHX	NBA
this game	15.2	14.8	15.7	85.4	99.0	100.5
season	15.2	14.6		94.6	99.6
opponent	15.9	15.4		103.6	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.6	16.2	12.9	15.6	15.2
PHX	14.0	15.8	13.8	15.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lonny Baxter	14	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-15	17	13.1	15.6	-2.43	16.9	14.4	2.43
Marcus Fizer	39	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.13	1	-14	15	13.2	16.6	-3.48	13.8	15.4	-1.64
Scottie Pippen	34	34	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-9	5	13.0	16.5	-3.48	13.2	15.6	-2.44
Eddie Robinson	40	40	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-8	3	13.7	16.3	-2.65	13.8	15.4	-1.60
Tyson Chandler	39	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.04	-6	-7	1	13.6	16.3	-2.74	14.3	15.1	-0.80
Eddy Curry	51	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	-3	-7	17.2	13.0	4.26	15.6	13.8	1.79
Jalen Rose	78	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-6	-1	15.6	13.6	1.98	14.7	15.2	-0.55
Donyell Marshall	49	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	0	-13	16.7	13.7	2.97	14.5	15.1	-0.65
Kirk Hinrich	68	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.10	-10	-3	-7	16.0	13.4	2.58	15.6	12.7	2.87
Kendall Gill	68	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	0	-13	16.1	13.1	2.93	15.4	13.3	2.06

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	85	84	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.01	18	-5	23	14.8	14.5	0.37	15.8	11.1	4.73
Stephon Marbury	82	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.07	15	-2	17	15.3	11.8	3.51	15.6	13.0	2.60
Amar'e Stoudemire	76	75	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	0	13	14.9	14.5	0.36	15.9	12.9	3.02
Scott Williams	46	44	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.03	14	-1	15	16.0	13.7	2.34	17.6	13.2	4.46
Joe Johnson	82	82	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.18	6	7	-1	15.0	13.2	1.83	15.0	16.7	-1.75
Jake Voskuhl	41	43	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.05	2	11	-9	12.8	16.2	-3.41	13.5	16.6	-3.18
Anfernee Hardaway	39	40	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	13	-13	13.1	16.0	-2.91	13.7	16.3	-2.56
Zarko Cabarkapa	29	30	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	16	-19	15.4	14.5	0.91	12.5	16.4	-3.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 99, NOP 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
TOR 64, IND 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.73,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
HOU 80, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,1,1	96.0%