NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	76		Excitement	3.1 [1160]		MVP	Gary Trent (MIN): +7.5%
Minnesota Timberwolves	89		Comeback	1.1 [1139]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -14.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.05	5	92%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Voshon Lenard	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	12	42%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	0.00	0.10	11	58%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Carmelo Anthony	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.03	12	36%	-0.05	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.00	-0.02	12	24%	-0.08	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Andre Miller	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.12	-0.01	-0.00	8	22%	-0.08	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.00	0.03	9	78%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	5	86%	0.03	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	6	56%	0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.04
Ndudi Ebi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	8	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Michael Olowokandi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.03	11	33%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.16	0.00	-0.02	25	45%	-0.03	6	-0.11	8	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	32.3	15.4	25.5	2.5	28.5	129.3
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +41.9%

MIN +3.1%

MIN +9.2%

DEN -4.4%

MIN +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	MIN	NBA	DEN	MIN	NBA
this game	15.3	17.6	15.7	86.4	102.3	100.5
season	14.9	15.6		101.6	103.2
opponent	16.1	15.4		98.4	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.5	13.9	16.8	14.0	15.3
MIN	15.5	17.4	17.5	20.3	17.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Camby	21	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-11	9	15.1	15.3	-0.19	18.0	17.5	0.53
Rodney White	40	40	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.32	6	-19	25	13.5	16.7	-3.22	19.2	16.3	2.83
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	39	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.09	-2	-11	9	15.5	15.1	0.32	17.4	17.9	-0.49
Ryan Bowen	37	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.21	1	-14	15	15.6	15.1	0.49	18.4	17.1	1.32
Jon Barry	45	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-13	13	14.5	16.1	-1.54	18.1	17.2	0.92
Andre Miller	41	39	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-6	-1	15.7	15.0	0.70	18.3	17.1	1.20
Francisco Elson	43	42	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.01	-9	-4	-5	15.7	14.8	0.90	17.9	17.4	0.46
Earl Boykins	47	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-7	1	15.0	15.7	-0.70	17.1	18.3	-1.20
Carmelo Anthony	51	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.10	-14	1	-15	15.1	15.6	-0.49	17.1	18.4	-1.32
Voshon Lenard	49	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.15	-16	3	-19	15.9	14.5	1.48	16.9	18.6	-1.71
Chris Andersen	27	27	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.11	-16	3	-19	17.1	14.5	2.58	15.7	18.5	-2.81

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trenton Hassell	49	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.14	17	-4	21	17.1	18.3	-1.15	16.6	13.4	3.20
Kevin Garnett	63	66	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.04	13	0	13	17.5	17.9	-0.38	15.9	13.5	2.32
Keith McLeod	47	47	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.07	8	5	3	16.6	18.8	-2.23	14.9	15.7	-0.84
Fred Hoiberg	54	54	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.09	7	6	1	17.1	18.5	-1.36	16.0	14.2	1.81
Sam Cassell	49	50	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	6	1	18.7	16.3	2.31	15.0	15.6	-0.61
Mark Madsen	45	44	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.08	12	1	11	18.1	17.1	0.97	14.0	16.5	-2.48
Latrell Sprewell	62	61	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	13	-13	18.5	15.6	2.87	14.3	17.6	-3.28
Michael Olowokandi	29	31	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.05	9	4	5	15.6	18.7	-3.09	17.0	14.3	2.70
Gary Trent	33	33	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.30	-4	17	-21	19.0	16.8	2.23	14.0	16.0	-2.01
Quincy Lewis	2	2	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	15	-17	17.5	17.6	-0.15	9.5	15.4	-5.92
Ndudi Ebi	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	17.5	17.6	-0.15	17.0	15.3	1.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.83,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 79, CLE 104	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.87,0.84,0.81,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
UTA 75, DEN 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.84,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
MIN 86, DAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%