NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	86		Excitement	6.6 [479]		MVP	Jumaine Jones (CLE): +5.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	96		Comeback	1.6 [913]		LVP	Chris Jefferies (TOR): -17.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Bradley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Rafer Alston	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.04	19	59%	0.08	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Mamadou N'diaye	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	10	42%	-0.03	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Jerome Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	8	50%	-0.07	2	-0.04	10	70%	-0.02
Jelani McCoy	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	5	56%	-0.04	3	-0.08	6	50%	-0.04
Morris Peterson	-0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	11	39%	-0.04	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00
Chris Jefferies	-0.17	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	19	31%	-0.17	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	13	57%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.04	-0.00	14	45%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.00	9	41%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Tierre Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	11	62%	0.04	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
DeSagana Diop	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.01	-0.00	18	38%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.03
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	14	31%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	5	38%	-0.02	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.6	26.4	18.7	23.2	2.3	27.6	124.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +26.0%

CLE +1.0%

CLE +9.8%

CLE +10.7%

CLE +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CLE	NBA	TOR	CLE	NBA
this game	14.9	15.0	15.5	88.7	100.0	101.6
season	16.2	15.1		98.8	94.6
opponent	14.9	15.3		104.3	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.3	17.8	15.0	14.8	14.9
CLE	15.3	14.1	15.7	14.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Williams	65	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.05	-6	-4	-2	14.6	15.4	-0.79	15.0	14.9	0.18
Mamadou N'diaye	55	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.06	-6	-4	-2	15.0	14.7	0.29	14.8	15.2	-0.40
Michael Bradley	61	60	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-6	2	15.4	14.0	1.39	15.4	14.3	1.06
Morris Peterson	87	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.16	-7	-3	-4	14.7	16.5	-1.81	14.7	16.9	-2.23
Jelani McCoy	54	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	-1	-8	14.8	14.9	-0.10	15.1	14.9	0.20
Rafer Alston	87	87	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	-3	-4	14.8	15.6	-0.81	15.0	14.6	0.46
Chris Jefferies	76	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	1	-12	14.9	14.7	0.27	14.9	15.2	-0.24

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tierre Brown	56	55	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	4	2	15.0	14.9	0.16	15.8	13.7	2.09
Smush Parker	75	76	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-2	14	14.2	17.6	-3.33	14.8	15.3	-0.52
Jumaine Jones	25	25	0.32	0.18	0.13	-0.04	12	-2	14	12.3	15.9	-3.58	17.1	14.1	3.02
Chris Mihm	45	44	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	2	6	14.5	15.4	-0.90	15.5	14.4	1.06
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	51	51	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.07	6	4	2	15.0	14.9	0.11	14.9	14.8	0.14
Michael Stewart	22	22	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.11	4	6	-2	12.8	15.6	-2.85	15.9	14.6	1.28
Milt Palacio	61	63	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.15	2	8	-6	15.8	13.5	2.29	14.2	16.1	-1.87
Darius Miles	71	72	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.24	-2	12	-14	15.9	12.3	3.58	14.1	17.1	-3.02
DeSagana Diop	29	31	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	7	-4	15.8	14.6	1.13	15.0	14.8	0.18
Carlos Boozer	45	46	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	11	-12	16.0	14.1	1.86	13.7	15.9	-2.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.85,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.92,0.89,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 91, NYK 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.72,0.81,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.68,0.81,0.9,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
DAL 93, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.5,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.81,0.73,0.78,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.83,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	94.2%
SEA 83, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.86,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.0%