NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	110		Excitement	14.2 [3]		MVP	Jon Barry (DET): +55.9%
Memphis Grizzlies	107		Comeback	7.9 [141]		LVP	Pau Gasol (MEM): -72.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jon Barry	0.56	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.36,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56	0.08	0.47	-0.00	5	93%	0.59	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Mehmet Okur	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.00	13	46%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chucky Atkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	7	50%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Richard Hamilton	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	17	50%	0.00	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Michael Curry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.02	-0.16	0.00	13	50%	0.00	2	-0.18	2	100%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	-0.19	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,-0.14,-0.2,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.57,-0.57,-0.64,-0.55,-0.42,-0.19	-0.04	-0.16	-0.01	23	51%	0.09	3	-0.28	9	78%	0.04
Clifford Robinson	-0.28	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.11	-0.17	-0.00	11	38%	-0.14	3	-0.14	4	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.03	0.00	10	85%	0.19	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Stromile Swift	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	11	78%	0.31	3	-0.19	5	60%	-0.12
Mike Batiste	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	11	58%	0.09	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.05
Wesley Person	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	8	50%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Humphrey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Archibald	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	4	25%	-0.09	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	7	0%	-0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.37	-0.37	-0.07	-0.29	0.01	9	33%	-0.17	2	-0.20	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.43,-0.4,-0.4,-0.52,-0.51,-0.72	-0.72	-0.11	-0.61	0.00	19	52%	-0.29	6	-0.43	8	75%	-0.07

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	25.3	2.7	25.0	15.8	26.0	1.8	35.2	2.6	14.1	2.5	21.1	172.1
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	1.9	17.2	1.9	17.2	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +26.5%

DET +1.9%

DET +38.1%

MEM -10.9%

MEM -5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MEM	NBA	DET	MEM	NBA
this game	16.6	15.8	15.5	101.9	100.0	101.6
season	16.8	15.3		101.7	101.8
opponent	15.2	15.6		105.1	97.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	16.1	16.7	19.2	16.3	15.9	16.9
MEM	15.2	14.7	15.1	16.4	21.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jon Barry	40	39	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.49	8	-5	13	15.9	17.0	-1.01	15.4	16.0	-0.55
Chauncey Billups	82	82	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.40	7	-4	11	16.7	16.3	0.31	15.7	16.1	-0.38
Corliss Williamson	69	65	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.47	2	1	1	15.8	18.0	-2.22	16.6	14.5	2.04
Mehmet Okur	82	81	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.43	2	1	1	16.7	16.3	0.31	15.8	15.6	0.22
Clifford Robinson	85	84	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	-7	17	16.9	15.4	1.51	16.7	12.5	4.16
Richard Hamilton	65	65	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.25	-3	6	-9	16.4	16.8	-0.42	14.9	17.1	-2.20
Chucky Atkins	26	25	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	7	-11	16.3	16.7	-0.31	16.1	15.7	0.38
Zeljko Rebraca	33	33	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.05	-2	5	-7	16.1	16.8	-0.75	14.8	16.2	-1.35
Michael Curry	50	53	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	8	-13	18.2	15.2	3.01	14.3	17.2	-2.90

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	34	34	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.01	7	-10	17	14.7	16.3	-1.54	16.1	16.8	-0.64
Brevin Knight	30	31	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.01	6	-9	15	14.4	16.3	-1.88	16.0	16.8	-0.86
Robert Archibald	28	29	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.02	6	-9	15	14.9	16.1	-1.16	16.1	16.8	-0.66
Ryan Humphrey	17	18	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.01	4	-7	11	15.4	15.9	-0.51	16.3	16.6	-0.30
Stromile Swift	45	46	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	4	-11	15.6	15.9	-0.24	16.3	16.8	-0.49
Mike Batiste	66	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.42	1	-4	5	15.8	15.8	0.01	16.5	16.7	-0.18
Shane Battier	80	80	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.36	-6	3	-9	16.0	15.0	1.00	16.9	15.5	1.41
Pau Gasol	85	85	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.47	-7	4	-11	16.0	15.0	0.99	16.7	16.3	0.35
Jason Williams	77	77	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.42	-9	6	-15	16.3	14.4	1.88	16.8	16.0	0.86
Wesley Person	73	74	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.40	-10	7	-17	16.3	14.7	1.54	16.8	16.1	0.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.74,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.53,0.62,0.85,0.77,0.74,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.58,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.45,0.31,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 136, MIA 130	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.79,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.73,0.53,0.35,0.39,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.84,0.54,0.31,0.37,0.67,0.96,0.54,0.54,0.36,0.29,0.08,0	88.5%
PHI 94, ATL 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.59,0.65,0.78,0.68,0.77,0.85,0.93,1	87.7%
LAL 105, GSW 108	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.54,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.85,0.6,0.81,0.86,0.94,0.95,1	87.7%