NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	88		Excitement	6.0 [575]		MVP	Greg Buckner (PHI): +4.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	79		Comeback	6.0 [87]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -35.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelvin Cato	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Griffin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
James Posey	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	15	59%	0.13	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
Steve Francis	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	18	49%	0.11	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Yao Ming	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	14	53%	0.01	3	-0.04	10	80%	0.01
Moochie Norris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Glen Rice	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	0.03	10	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	0.00	10	29%	-0.14	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.07

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	10	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.01
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	1	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	14	50%	0.09	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	6	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	9	50%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	7	36%	-0.04	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27,-0.3,-0.33,-0.33,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.28	-0.09	-0.00	23	17%	-0.32	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	25.4	15.7	28.3	2.5	31.2	130.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +44.6%

HOU +3.8%

HOU +20.4%

PHI -18.2%

PHI -0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHI	NBA	HOU	PHI	NBA
this game	16.4	15.3	15.5	97.8	85.9	101.6
season	16.3	15.3		101.7	102.1
opponent	15.5	15.4		99.9	100.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.7	18.9	14.2	15.4	16.4
PHI	16.6	15.5	13.0	16.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Posey	74	76	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.19	19	-10	29	15.9	18.5	-2.59	15.4	14.6	0.81
Steve Francis	82	84	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.20	17	-8	25	16.0	20.0	-3.99	15.4	13.7	1.69
Cuttino Mobley	86	86	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.23	11	-2	13	16.2	20.5	-4.33	15.1	18.0	-2.90
Kelvin Cato	29	32	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	0	9	15.2	16.9	-1.71	14.7	15.6	-0.83
Maurice Taylor	48	50	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	-2	13	16.6	16.1	0.51	15.9	14.6	1.28
Eddie Griffin	39	39	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	10	-11	16.5	16.3	0.26	14.7	15.7	-1.00
Yao Ming	61	60	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.08	0	9	-9	16.9	15.2	1.71	15.6	14.7	0.83
Moochie Norris	15	17	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.07	-11	20	-31	18.3	16.0	2.28	15.1	15.3	-0.22
Glen Rice	16	16	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.03	-10	19	-29	18.5	15.9	2.59	14.6	15.4	-0.81

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	36	34	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.12	8	-17	25	13.7	16.3	-2.54	17.5	15.7	1.77
John Salmons	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	9.7	15.5	-5.80	12.0	16.6	-4.62
Keith Van Horn	18	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.01	0	-9	9	17.7	14.7	3.02	17.7	16.0	1.69
Greg Buckner	38	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-10	11	14.9	15.6	-0.72	16.2	16.5	-0.32
Monty Williams	39	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-10	11	13.8	16.4	-2.65	15.3	17.1	-1.77
Brian Skinner	12	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-8	7	16.2	15.2	1.00	13.6	16.8	-3.22
Tyrone Hill	27	24	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-1	-7	16.6	14.7	1.89	16.9	16.2	0.69
Derrick Coleman	59	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-8	7	15.6	14.8	0.74	17.0	15.2	1.74
Eric Snow	74	71	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	1	-11	15.1	15.9	-0.81	16.3	16.6	-0.27
Kenny Thomas	73	72	-0.71	0.21	-0.91	-0.18	-18	9	-27	15.5	14.6	0.83	16.3	16.6	-0.24
Allen Iverson	80	79	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.18	-19	10	-29	15.9	11.4	4.46	16.4	16.3	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.73,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.54,0.38,0.29,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 93, CLE 79	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.75,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.02,0,0,0	93.8%
PHI 117, NYK 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.56,0.44,0.32,0.38,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.02,0	93.1%
ORL 93, ATL 76	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.69,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.68,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.12,0.14,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%