NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	95		Excitement	3.7 [1040]		MVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): +10.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	112		Comeback	1.4 [548]		LVP	Bonzi Wells (POR): -9.1%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	11	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	9	65%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	5	54%	0.03	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Eduardo Najera	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	13	46%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	16	54%	0.05	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Raef LaFrentz	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	31%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Walt Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Adrian Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.02	15	62%	0.12	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	9	70%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	81%	0.10	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	9	74%	0.11	3	-0.07	5	100%	0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	11	70%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	1	25%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	8	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	-0.05	14	37%	-0.03	4	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	3.0	30.1	17.7	31.0	2.7	28.0	137.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +29.9%

POR +2.6%

POR +21.5%

DAL -5.6%

POR +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	POR	NBA	DAL	POR	NBA
this game	14.2	16.4	15.5	101.1	119.1	101.6
season	15.1	16.0		108.6	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.3		101.8	102.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.0	14.1	15.5	12.6	14.2
POR	16.3	15.9	17.3	16.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Johnson	29	29	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.16	6	-23	29	12.0	15.2	-3.23	15.9	16.6	-0.68
Tariq Abdul-Wahad	59	61	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.24	7	-24	31	13.1	16.1	-3.00	17.0	15.4	1.60
Raja Bell	52	52	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.22	6	-23	29	13.7	14.9	-1.17	16.7	16.1	0.56
Walt Williams	36	36	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.05	-6	-11	5	14.4	14.1	0.34	17.1	16.0	1.10
Adrian Griffin	12	11	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.10	-8	-9	1	16.8	13.9	2.98	15.5	16.5	-0.97
Shawn Bradley	41	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-10	3	14.1	14.3	-0.20	16.4	16.4	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	52	54	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.26	0	-17	17	13.8	14.7	-0.87	16.2	16.6	-0.38
Dirk Nowitzki	64	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.15	-19	2	-21	14.5	13.7	0.74	16.2	16.8	-0.53
Steve Nash	49	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.12	-19	2	-21	15.5	12.8	2.67	17.1	15.7	1.41
Eduardo Najera	33	32	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.17	-21	4	-25	15.6	13.5	2.07	15.1	17.1	-1.94
Nick Van Exel	43	43	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.25	-24	7	-31	14.7	13.8	0.94	15.9	16.8	-0.92

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasheed Wallace	76	77	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.18	24	-7	31	16.7	15.2	1.53	14.7	12.0	2.73
Derek Anderson	66	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.20	22	-5	27	16.7	15.7	0.93	15.0	12.5	2.47
Bonzi Wells	67	68	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.07	10	7	3	16.2	16.8	-0.58	14.6	13.2	1.44
Damon Stoudamire	56	56	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.12	15	2	13	16.4	16.3	0.10	14.9	13.2	1.67
Dale Davis	44	44	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.16	16	1	15	17.5	15.4	2.06	15.6	13.0	2.59
Ruben Patterson	39	40	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.18	14	3	11	16.3	16.5	-0.25	14.3	14.2	0.16
Jeff McInnis	38	38	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	15	-13	16.3	16.4	-0.10	13.2	14.9	-1.67
Zach Randolph	46	46	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	16	-15	16.2	16.6	-0.41	13.0	15.4	-2.37
Antonio Daniels	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	14.4	16.6	-2.24	9.6	14.7	-5.17
Charles Smith	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	14.4	16.6	-2.24	9.6	14.7	-5.17
Qyntel Woods	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	23	-29	14.8	16.6	-1.80	11.5	14.6	-3.15
Arvydas Sabonis	6	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	18	-19	15.8	16.4	-0.61	13.0	14.3	-1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.63,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 95, MIA 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.46,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.79,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
LAL 90, MIL 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.5,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
LAC 81, HOU 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%