NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	80		Excitement	3.8 [1039]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +8.5%
Detroit Pistons	90		Comeback	1.3 [1057]		LVP	Larry Hughes (WAS): -12.3%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	59%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Charles Oakley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Tyronn Lue	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.03	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.02	16	55%	-0.02	3	-0.04	12	83%	0.02
Michael Jordan	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	18	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Christian Laettner	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.06	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Larry Hughes	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.02	14	74%	0.14	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	80%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	11	53%	0.02	0	0.00	10	40%	-0.05
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.11	0.01	-0.09	18	45%	0.06	4	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02
Pepe Sanchez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	9	50%	0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.17	-0.00	-0.09	14	32%	-0.07	3	-0.02	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.8	1.8	29.1	17.6	26.8	2.0	30.3	142.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +41.3%

DET +0.6%

DET +15.7%

WAS -9.6%

DET +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	DET	NBA	WAS	DET	NBA
this game	17.3	14.7	15.5	89.9	98.9	101.6
season	16.5	16.8		100.9	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.5		97.8	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.2	18.4	18.0	16.6	17.3
DET	13.2	14.3	13.3	18.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bobby Simmons	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-11	12	5.0	17.5	-12.45	13.0	14.8	-1.75
Jahidi White	30	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.23	5	-15	20	17.7	17.1	0.53	16.1	14.0	2.10
Kwame Brown	34	37	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.19	3	-13	16	16.6	17.8	-1.18	16.7	13.4	3.35
Bryon Russell	32	33	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-14	18	17.7	17.1	0.68	16.2	13.9	2.30
Charles Oakley	16	15	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.02	-6	-4	-2	19.2	16.9	2.36	13.5	14.9	-1.41
Tyronn Lue	50	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-10	10	18.0	16.4	1.61	15.5	13.7	1.83
Brendan Haywood	38	38	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.09	-12	2	-14	16.2	18.2	-1.97	13.8	15.4	-1.59
Jerry Stackhouse	74	77	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.20	-5	-5	0	17.1	18.2	-1.06	13.9	19.1	-5.23
Christian Laettner	52	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	1	-12	18.0	16.4	1.56	13.9	15.7	-1.80
Larry Hughes	46	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	-12	2	-14	16.2	18.5	-2.23	12.9	16.6	-3.72
Michael Jordan	72	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.04	-17	7	-24	17.6	16.2	1.33	15.2	12.5	2.69

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chauncey Billups	86	84	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-1	12	14.6	17.0	-2.42	17.4	15.4	2.03
Clifford Robinson	77	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-4	18	15.0	13.4	1.60	17.5	16.2	1.27
Ben Wallace	82	79	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.15	9	1	8	14.8	14.1	0.67	16.9	20.5	-3.59
Richard Hamilton	68	67	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.11	9	1	8	15.1	13.7	1.42	17.0	18.3	-1.27
Michael Curry	45	44	0.34	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	0	10	13.4	16.0	-2.56	17.0	17.6	-0.53
Corliss Williamson	46	45	0.17	0.34	-0.17	0.17	0	10	-10	16.0	13.4	2.56	17.6	17.0	0.53
Jon Barry	23	22	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	9	-8	13.7	15.1	-1.42	18.3	17.0	1.27
Mehmet Okur	23	23	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.20	-3	13	-16	13.7	15.1	-1.42	18.1	17.0	1.04
Pepe Sanchez	5	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	11	-12	17.0	14.6	2.42	15.4	17.4	-2.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.88,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 97, PHX 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.5%
NYK 96, DEN 107	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.76,0.83,0.79,0.78,0.75,0.84,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.93,0.98,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.4%
PHI 93, POR 114	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.79,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%