NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	8.0 [246]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +20.6%
Los Angeles Lakers	97		Comeback	9.8 [193]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -30.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.01	7	57%	0.07	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Jermaine O'Neal	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	19	61%	0.11	3	-0.06	8	100%	0.05
Erick Strickland	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	9	44%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamison Brewer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	7	80%	0.08	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Primoz Brezec	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ron Mercer	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17	-0.16	-0.02	-0.01	18	37%	-0.05	2	-0.12	10	70%	-0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.21	0.21	0.00	0.18	-0.02	17	53%	0.26	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.14,-0.27,0.16	0.16	-0.04	0.19	-0.00	9	44%	0.30	2	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.04	0.10	-0.00	8	45%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	50%	0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	12	72%	0.14	3	-0.08	12	67%	-0.01
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Slava Medvedenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	7	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,0,-0.06,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.31	-0.16	-0.17	-0.02	26	36%	-0.19	3	-0.12	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.5	35.3	17.7	29.6	2.6	31.5	141.3
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +54.0%

IND -10.3%

LAL +20.2%

IND -10.4%

IND -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	LAL	NBA	IND	LAL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.8	15.5	100.0	104.3	101.6
season	15.4	15.4		102.2	105.0
opponent	15.1	15.5		102.8	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.0	13.5	14.5	15.7	14.8
LAL	16.8	13.2	18.2	15.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamison Brewer	5	6	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.01	1	-3	4	17.8	14.7	3.14	18.0	15.7	2.32
Primoz Brezec	7	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-2	2	14.3	14.9	-0.58	13.5	16.0	-2.49
Jamaal Tinsley	32	31	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	2	-6	15.2	14.6	0.55	14.6	16.5	-1.87
Reggie Miller	54	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.39	7	-9	16	15.1	14.4	0.67	16.6	14.8	1.78
Brad Miller	64	65	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.46	9	-11	20	14.3	15.8	-1.51	16.4	14.4	2.00
Metta World Peace	72	71	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.47	8	-10	18	15.0	14.3	0.62	15.9	15.5	0.49
Jermaine O'Neal	72	71	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.47	6	-8	14	14.9	14.6	0.34	15.5	16.8	-1.24
Al Harrington	52	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.03	-11	9	-20	15.6	13.9	1.67	16.6	14.9	1.67
Jeff Foster	24	21	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.01	-11	9	-20	14.3	15.0	-0.71	14.1	16.3	-2.18
Ron Mercer	35	34	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.05	-16	14	-30	14.1	15.2	-1.07	14.2	16.8	-2.60
Erick Strickland	58	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.48	1	-3	4	14.4	15.5	-1.18	16.3	15.1	1.15

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	66	66	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.31	11	-9	20	16.0	15.4	0.64	15.1	14.2	0.83
Shaquille O'Neal	71	73	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.38	7	-5	12	15.0	18.5	-3.56	14.8	14.9	-0.06
Brian Shaw	30	30	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.03	16	-14	30	16.0	15.7	0.25	15.6	14.5	1.14
Derek Fisher	73	75	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.35	2	0	2	15.8	16.0	-0.28	14.7	15.3	-0.67
Devean George	57	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.18	7	-5	12	15.9	15.7	0.22	15.6	13.5	2.08
Kobe Bryant	82	84	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.46	-10	12	-22	15.8	15.8	0.01	14.7	15.5	-0.82
Rick Fox	47	49	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.33	-7	9	-16	15.7	15.9	-0.17	14.3	15.4	-1.11
Slava Medvedenko	3	4	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	4	-6	12.7	15.9	-3.27	10.7	15.0	-4.25
Samaki Walker	8	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	5	-8	19.6	15.5	4.15	13.9	14.9	-1.04
Mark Madsen	28	28	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.12	-11	13	-24	16.7	15.4	1.27	14.2	15.1	-0.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.85,0.8,0.89,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.75,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.83,0.73,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.72,0.43,0.09,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 101, LAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.82,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.93,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.85,0.9,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.77,0.82,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.57,0.27,1	90.7%
BOS 89, CLE 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.53,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.73,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.93,0.95,0.87,0.81,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.86,0.62,0.79,0.53,0.31,1	90.4%
NYK 105, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.76,0.8,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.92,0.87,0.76,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.16,1	89.8%