NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	97		Excitement	5.5 [700]		MVP	Wally Szczerbiak (MIN): +19.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Comeback	1.0 [1107]		LVP	Casey Jacobsen (PHX): -20.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.16	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16	0.17	0.02	0.03	19	73%	0.19	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Shawn Marion	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	18	53%	0.08	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tom Gugliotta	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Langhi	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	9	45%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jake Voskuhl	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	3	62%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	0.03	7	44%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.02	-0.03	12	38%	-0.09	3	-0.06	10	50%	-0.06
Casey Jacobsen	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21	-0.09	-0.13	-0.02	5	17%	-0.20	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.10	0.05	-0.05	19	65%	0.22	2	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	17	65%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	19	57%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Gary Trent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	14	38%	0.01	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.0	31.5	16.0	27.0	2.0	28.4	129.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +40.0%

MIN +1.4%

PHX -2.1%

MIN +4.4%

MIN +6.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIN	NBA	PHX	MIN	NBA
this game	14.8	15.9	15.5	104.3	104.2	101.6
season	15.0	14.9		101.1	104.0
opponent	15.8	15.9		102.3	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.9	17.0	12.8	15.5	14.8
MIN	14.3	14.9	16.6	17.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jake Voskuhl	25	25	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.51	20	-22	42	11.8	15.8	-3.98	18.8	14.8	3.92
Randy Brown	11	11	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.07	2	-4	6	19.6	14.1	5.54	14.3	16.1	-1.81
Dan Langhi	42	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.21	6	-8	14	15.9	13.8	2.06	16.6	15.3	1.29
Casey Jacobsen	49	51	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.53	16	-18	34	14.2	15.3	-1.07	16.9	14.7	2.26
Bo Outlaw	20	21	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	5	-12	14.0	14.9	-0.90	14.0	16.4	-2.34
Tom Gugliotta	29	29	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	9	-20	14.7	14.8	-0.04	15.4	16.1	-0.66
Joe Johnson	51	52	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.21	-8	6	-14	14.5	15.1	-0.58	15.4	16.5	-1.12
Shawn Marion	88	89	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.41	-2	0	-2	14.8	13.6	1.22	15.8	16.8	-1.02
Stephon Marbury	82	84	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.37	-4	2	-6	14.1	19.6	-5.54	16.1	14.3	1.81
Amar'e Stoudemire	68	70	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	0.06	-22	20	-42	15.8	11.8	3.98	14.8	18.8	-3.92

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rasho Nesterovic	71	69	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.18	21	-19	40	15.5	16.9	-1.34	15.3	13.1	2.25
Troy Hudson	78	76	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.41	6	-4	10	15.3	18.5	-3.16	14.5	15.9	-1.45
Kevin Garnett	80	78	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.46	2	0	2	15.5	17.9	-2.45	14.3	17.3	-3.00
Anthony Peeler	49	48	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	-5	12	14.0	17.8	-3.83	15.6	13.9	1.72
Kendall Gill	63	61	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.44	-4	6	-10	16.7	14.2	2.45	14.4	15.4	-0.95
Wally Szczerbiak	80	79	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.28	-1	3	-4	16.2	14.1	2.15	14.4	16.9	-2.56
Mike Wilks	17	17	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	6	-10	18.5	15.3	3.16	15.9	14.5	1.45
Gary Trent	17	17	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	7	-12	17.3	15.6	1.73	16.6	14.3	2.32
Marc Jackson	20	20	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	0.10	-12	14	-26	18.0	15.3	2.69	13.5	15.1	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.88,0.78,0.79,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.88,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 95, GSW 109	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.75,0.86,0.8,0.75,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.8,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
LAL 102, MIN 120	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.3%
CLE 107, PHI 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.7,0.82,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.94,1,1	94.3%